Susan you are very inteligent and post responses to defend marriott at every turn, yet to find some way to justify the theft of 7% to 10% of the entire Mariott points inventory by skimming (or instead using marriotts nice words instead of theft as you like to do "breakage") is unacceptable and something NO OTHER points timeshare organization does it. To say that Marriott "must" do it to protect themselves from unknwn inventory is a joke. they worked on this thing for several years and went through every possible scenario before rolling the new program out. It is bult in profit for Marriott pure and simple, and it was designed that way on purpose hoping that they can slip it by the majority of owners while claiming to save them money by giving free exchanges and free lock-offs. the problem is that veryone on TUG has caught on to their trickery and deceit, everyone that is except possibly you.
If my week is worth 5000 points if someone else want to rent it, and the week they deposit will cost me 5000 pints to rent, then these are like fr like trades and I should get enough points using my deposit to exchange for their week. However thanks to skimming they can't deposit their 5000 point week and exchange for my 5000 point week, and I can't exchange for their's either because marriott won't give either of us enough points to make like for like exchanges. That is a ripoff and whether you prefer to call it skimming, theft, or breakage.
I agree with your skimming, but not with your theft.
In order to 'steal' something from me you have to take something that belongs to me and not replace it with something that I consider of equal or eqivalent value.
Marriott has not taken anything of value from you that you currently own. You have the same reservation right and usage right that you have today. You also have the same exchange options that you had 1 week ago.
Note: If Marriott does raid the weeks system to provide points inventory then I would consider that a theft if they did not provide equal compensation, and points are not equal in that sense. A 4th of July week is not equal to 15th of Aug even though they have the same value in points. I don't know if we could prove that one way or another, but it is a concern to me.
Marriott actions may also influence your resale options. I personally have no interest in resale or the conflicting statements about it in the document, but that could help you or hurt you depending on how things work out and everyone's theories about value. If it is true that the new program instantly devalues everyones resale value then I would consider that a theft. However, if Marriott is successful in selling points, and cannot add inventory fast enough by building they may offer you money for your week so they can convert it to points and may pay you MORE than the pre 6/20 resale value. That would not be a theft, but a benefit. I think it will be a while before we know the outcome for resale values.
In order to provide a NEW benefit, Marriott has 'skimmed' points to make this possible. Is that an equivalent value to the system as a whole? That is unclear. Since we do not have access to the 'other side of the curtain' we do not know what Marriotts true demand is, what the majority of their customers want, what the real breakage is, etc. I see interesting opportunities because I work in pricing and every price realignment presents certain anomolies that can be exploited for your benefit.
Regardless, Marriott does not force you to join if you do not want to. So unless there is a negative impact to you from the above 2 options you are no worse off, while I consider myself better off. Certainly not a theft, but a win for Marriott.
Additionally Marriott has subsidized the entire system by charging less in fees than they + II presumably collected in total under the previous system. Again, this is hard to verify but if you took the entire II membership costs + internal trades at $109 + lock off fees at $75 + points trade fees of $109 + reservation change fees of $29 then this is >= $165 or $199 per member. My guess is that this is a true benefit to the new system.
The rest depends on your view of Marriott I guess. I am a Platinum business traveller and very satisfied timeshare customer so I do not see any evil intent where others do. They have always dealt straight with me, fixed my valid complaints, and treated me well. I do not expect that to change in the future although I may be disappointed if other peoples fears come to fruition.
So I do not believe there has been a theft unless they begin to 'raid' the weeks system to current owners disadvantage or there is some permanent reduction in resale value. Do you see any other areas where you are being robbed?