Here's my 2 cents about this new system:
Marriott is moving to the system Disney has - points.
The problem is that current owners own a tangible asset of sorts - the right to a week at their home resort - and until now, owners never really had a concrete value to associate with their owned week. Sure, the free-market system assigned a value to the resale of your week, and Marriott assigned a retail value, but the fact that we can exchange our seemingly worthless week for a prime week inflated the value of any resort that tends to be "traded up" from.
Now, the point system attempts to assign a really-for-real value to every resort. Let's for a moment remove II from the equation. Let's take a cold hard look at just the Marriott point-system in a vacuum.
Going forward, as I understand it - new Marriott customers will only buy points. The cost right now appears to be $9.20 a point to buy and Maintenance Fees of $.40 per point.
I own the following weeks:
Platinum week at Desert Springs II = 2,900 points to me if I take points.
Silver week at Willow Ridge = 850 points to me if I take points
Let's see how they compare to the proposed point system:
I'm going to just use the points I would receive from Marriott as an owner for these calculations (not the points it would cost to stay that week):
Desert Springs - 2900 * $9.20 = $26680. This is the "value" marriott is assigning to ownership of my Platinum week. Bear with me if you want to argue this...
Willow Ridge - 850 points * $920 = $7820.
So am I suggesting my Willow Ridge Silver week is worth almost $8000? Hardly, but Marriott seems to be saying that... After all, buying 850 points annually would cost me $7820, and Marriott will give me 850 points annually for my Willow Ridge week.
What about the Maintenance Fees?
I paid $1080 in 2010 for Desert Springs. Point-wise, I paid $1080/2900= $0.372 per point -- slightly less than the $0.40 per point a new Marriott points-only customer would pay.
I paid $780 in 2010 for Willow Ridge MF. Point-wise, I paid $780/850=a staggering $0.917 per point. To me, that is an indication that Marriott is assigning a higher point value to the resort than they believe it's worth.
I purchased both of my weeks resale just a year ago, at a very good price. My Desert Springs cost $6500, and Marriott will allow me to exchange for 2900 points annually if I become a member of their system. Purchasing 2900 points today would cost about $20,000 more than what I paid for my week which would get the equivalent number of points and the MF would be roughly the same.
My Willow Ridge cost $1000, and Marriott will allow me to exchenge for 850 points annually if I become a member. Purchasing 850 points today would cost about $7000 more than what I paid for my week which would get the equivalent number of points, but the MF would be about half of what I pay.
From that vacuum perspective, the Marriott system sounds like a great deal - especially if I want to always stay at my home resort, or are willing to exchange into a lesser-resort.
Where it goes extremely sour is when we want to "exchange up". Until now, we could get great deals through II. From almost any perspective, an exchange out of a winter Branson week is an exchange up - that's why I purchased it. Any Flexchange I could get would most certainly be a great one.
Through the Marriott point system, the resort costs are laid out and appear to be inflexible. There is no "Flexchange" discount for last minute vacations. Both of my 2BR weeks combined would barely get a 1BR summer Hawaii week. Is that the way it should be? Is that reality? If it is, then the Marriott point system is not for me.
Many of us bought a Marriott because of the Lock-off option. Most of us have consistently exchanged our Studio for a 1BR or 2BR in the same season during Flex, and still had our 1BR to exchange for something else - basically a free week for the cost of an exchange fee. With the point system, that simply cannot happen any longer. Were we "gaming" the Interval system by doing that?
Even so, why not just join and try it out, as Pooh keeps suggesting? What could it hurt? The worst case is that you have to figure out how to spend your free 800 point bonus, right? I'm not convinced that is the case...
My big problem is that I'm still not certain what signing on the dotted line allows Marriott to do. I keep reading that Marriott somehow is allowed to pull from the Interval pool as it desires. Clearly, if they are allowed to raid the pool for the point-system use, II will die a quick death, and we will all be forced into the point system like-it-or-not. If I do NOT join the point system and deposit my week into the II pool, how can Marriott possibly grab it? What I do imagine is that if I DO join the point system, then that may give them the right to pull my II deposit out of the pool - and that is my fear.
If in fact the act of signing up for the option of having points allows Marriott to sap the II pool, that is a very scary thing. I want to know the answer to that one before I consider enrolling.