Will the poeple who bought direct also have to pay to "buy in" to the new point system? Lets say it is cheaper than for resale owners, but will still cost money. Will those here who bought direct pay, lets say half of what resalers would need to pay, join?
I think it will depend on how they define "low cost" and how the program works. Who knows, there may be an introductory period to get people on board where they offer it for free, as others have suggested. I know personally if they were to offer it free (let alone for the $5000 they were charging) for owners at Ko'Olina and the other resorts in the Asia Pacific program to join their new points program I wouldn't join at any price. I can only hope that the points program they are developing is different from the Asia Pacific program, but I fear that it will be similar.
I also wouldn't join if, as Fletch suggested, there will be no home resort advantage (which seems to indicate a complete points program rather than an overlay program for trading). I think that will be a huge issue, since most people bought especially the better weeks for use at least some of the time, and I think will hesitate to join anything where they give up that advantage.
As to the other topic which has been discussed - I must admit I am surprised that seemingly so many people here contend they would have bought IF they knew up front that what they were buying had no residual monetary value immediately after purchase. Of course, I realize these aren't real estate purchases in the typical sense. And, just like the buyer of any expensive car recognizes that their purchase devaluates as soon as they drive off the lot, yet they buy anyway, they figure the devaluation is the on-going cost of use. However, to continue the analogy, sales of cars geared for the masses (I am excepting perhaps the high end cars which only the wealthy with lots of discretionary income buy; these are the same people who buy into the luxury travel products such as destination clubs perhaps) are higher for those cars that retain a higher residual value. So, while I know the primary value is usage, I also purchased expecting that there was some retained inherent value.
Latravel- The reason I feel resale owners should be grandfathered is not out of a sense of anything other than fairness. Since people bought with the only limitation that they couldn't trade their unit for points, I don't think the game rules should be changed to penalize them later on. IF Marriott were to penalize resale buyers going forward (and I don't think that's good for anybody because I think plummeting resale values will be bad for the product, as discussed ad nauseum already) those buyers would know they were buying into something vastly different and would make an informed choice as to whether the difference was worth it. But current resale owners bought into a system where the only difference was the inability to trade for points, and at the time many of us made those purchases we felt that we just wouldn't get enough value out of the incentive points being offered to compensate for the price differences.
I truly believe there was a time when buying direct made a lot of sense. Perhaps five plus years ago prices were much lower and Marriott offered lots of up front incentive points. If you received enough points to pay perhaps for a 10K trip (and maybe more) and lower prices up front buying direct was an easy decision. Getting 100K+ points for a $600 MF was a good deal too, so trading for points was a viable option. Fast forward to the past few years, when some of the initial pre-construction pricing at certain properties has now doubled, incentive points 100,000-2000,000 rather than the half million that many of you received, and MF's in excess of $1000 for the same number of points; throw in the devaluation of the points and I think many even happy direct purchasers would rethink whether it always made sense to buy directly. Some would still buy direct just because that's the way they like to buy, some wouldn't buy at all, and some would look at resales as a viable alternative.
And, while we shouldn't condemn a program before we see how it is rolled out, as the saying goes- the devil is in the details. I find it very worrisome that top salespeople are bailing out and leaving Marriott as they hear the details of the new system. If top salespeople see a problem selling the product going forward, what does that tell us? Analyzing their Asia Pacific points program and then Fletch's posts make me feel there is real cause for concern here (and I am not talking resale versus direct- I mean for everybody).
Personally, I bought where I really like to go. So using II for an occasional trade and for Getaways works for me. So regardless of how this turns out I won't lose any sleep over it. But I'd like to see Marriott do right by its owners. For those comfortable with the wait and see attitude, spend some time perusing the Starwood Board to see what could happen. See what happens to MF's as delinquencies start to run rampant....