ondeadlin
TUG Member
The annual fees - the only item you are certain of dealing with once you buy - could potentially sky rocket as the non-prime owners drop out (can't sell at any price or feel the annual fees aren't worth paying compared to value received) thus making even the prime weeks unattractive to purchase/own. This is in fact the most likely outcome at most largely seasonal resorts. It has started at many even before the economic problems and will accelerate in the near term as people deal with those unprecedented changes.
This is the point most people don't seem to understand.
There's been a ton of talk about, "Well, a ski week at Summit Watch will always be valuable ..."
It won't be if annual fees go to $2,000 a year. Think it can't happen? It's happened at Streamside Aspen after they left the Marriott system. You know why it happened? At least in part because everybody dumped their fall and summer weeks and the association was stuck with hundreds of defaulted weeks (and, in fairness, also because they then had to invest in modernizing the resort).
Streamside Aspen ski weeks now regularly go for a dollar on eBay.
This is an example, not a prediction. But when you see it happen once, you see the downside a lot better. At most ski resorts, two-thirds of the weeks are either completely undesirable (fall/spring) or marginally desirable (summer). That's a lot of exposure.
The downside isn't about prices as much as MF risk as people default IMO.