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College Football season is about to kick off. Here are our record projections for every team

MULTIZ321

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Rolltydr

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I can’t read the article because of the paywall. However, guessing it’s saying Alabama alwsys gets the benefit of the doubt and reslly doesn’t brling, yada, yada, yada. The only argument is that since the CFP started in 2014, Alabama won 5 championship games, lost 3 after winning their semifinal game, lost 4 semifinal games, and did not make the playoffs twice. I would think a team that won their way into the championship game 9 out of 11 years definitely earned their way and wasn’t given anything! What happens this year remains to be seen. Roll Tide! 🏈
 

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I can’t read the article because of the paywall. However, guessing it’s saying Alabama alwsys gets the benefit of the doubt and reslly doesn’t brling, yada, yada, yada. The only argument is that since the CFP started in 2014, Alabama won 5 championship games, lost 3 after winning their semifinal game, lost 4 semifinal games, and did not make the playoffs twice. I would think a team that won their way into the championship game 9 out of 11 years definitely earned their way and wasn’t given anything! What happens this year remains to be seen. Roll Tide! 🏈


yeah, too many good SEC teams

"This one was ignited when the College Football Playoff selection committee released its latest set of rankings and slotted Alabama at No.11 — one spot ahead of Miami, despite the fact the Crimson Tide have one more loss than the 10-2 Hurricanes. What made that tough to swallow for every one outside of Tuscaloosa is that finishing 12th won’t
guarantee a spot in this year’s playoff. Instead, one of the lower ranked teams from the Big 12 will earn an automatic berth by virtue of winning the conference title. With both Alabama and Miami idle this weekend and a slim possibility of chaos elsewhere shaking things up, it sets up a scenario where four SEC teams — potentially all of them with at least two losses — could crack the playoffs "
 

Rolltydr

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yeah, too many good SEC teams

"This one was ignited when the College Football Playoff selection committee released its latest set of rankings and slotted Alabama at No.11 — one spot ahead of Miami, despite the fact the Crimson Tide have one more loss than the 10-2 Hurricanes. What made that tough to swallow for every one outside of Tuscaloosa is that finishing 12th won’t
guarantee a spot in this year’s playoff. Instead, one of the lower ranked teams from the Big 12 will earn an automatic berth by virtue of winning the conference title. With both Alabama and Miami idle this weekend and a slim possibility of chaos elsewhere shaking things up, it sets up a scenario where four SEC teams — potentially all of them with at least two losses — could crack the playoffs "
It’s going to be interesting depending on who wins the ACC championship game. If SMU wins, I think things stay just like the current rankings and Alabama will be in. If Clemson upsets SMU, stealing a bid, I’m just not sure the committee will drop SMU out to keep Alabama in. This Bama team has played well enough at times to beat anyone in the country. They’ve also played bad enough at times to lose 3 games, 2 of which they should have won easily. If they don’t get in, it’s their own fault, not the committee’s!
 

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The problem with the system up to this point isn't who's gotten in, it's been who has been left out. This year, at least some other deserving teams will get their shot. If these "non blue bloods" get blown out, who cares? 19 of the 30 playoff games to date have been decided by 14+ points, so blowouts are more the norm than the exception.
 

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MULTIZ321

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MULTIZ321

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Rolltydr

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The problem with the system up to this point isn't who's gotten in, it's been who has been left out. This year, at least some other deserving teams will get their shot. If these "non blue bloods" get blown out, who cares? 19 of the 30 playoff games to date have been decided by 14+ points, so blowouts are more the norm than the exception.
I was always a proponent of keeping fewer teams in the playoffs instead of expanding, first 2 teams, then 4. Those teams you call “deserving” getting blown out shows me they weren’t deserving and weren’t championship caliber teams. I think it’s always pretty clear who the top 2 or 4 teams are. Yes, people argue about it, but that’s because they are fans, short for fanatics, of a certain school or conference. Blowouts aren’t good football to me and certainly aren’t championship football. I contend that not one single team that has ever been left out of the playoff field was actually capable of winning the championship.
 

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Well, on to the Whatever Bowl for Bama! Yay? :rolleyes:
 

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MULTIZ321

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MULTIZ321

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moonstone

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Well, on to the Whatever Bowl for Bama! Yay? :rolleyes:
Our oldest DS & DiL are excited that the game is being played in Tampa. They are huge 'Bama fans and moved to the Tampa area 18 months ago. DS went online and got 4 tickets as fast as he could! Roll Tide!!
Our adult DD and Dil's 22 yr old daughter, who will be visiting them at the time, are not as excited to be spending New Years Eve at a football game!

~Diane
 

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Our oldest DS & DiL are excited that the game is being played in Tampa. They are huge 'Bama fans and moved to the Tampa area 18 months ago. DS went online and got 4 tickets as fast as he could! Roll Tide!!
Our adult DD and Dil's 22 yr old daughter, who will be visiting them at the time, are not as excited to be spending New Years Eve at a football game!

~Diane
At least it’s in Tampa so the weather should be decent. We’ve been to some pretty miserable bowl games over the years!

How did they become Bama fans? You’re from Canada, correct?
 

moonstone

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How did they become Bama fans? You’re from Canada, correct?
Yes, we are Canadian but DS has been a college football fan since high school for some reason. He played football with his HS plus played in a rep team in the town just south of us for 2 years, so he does love football. DS never caught fan fever for the CFL (Argos) like his dad. He has been to a few Alabama games when they played at other venues but mostly watches them on TV. When he met his now DW she was an NFL fan (Cowboys) like her dad but has converted over the years.

I found a garden gnome in an Alabama uniform and holding a football that they are getting for Christmas even though we arent supposed to buy them anything -what is a mom to do?

~Diane
 

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He certainly picked a good time to be a fan. It’s been a great ride for the past 18 years. It’s disappointing to miss the playoff this year but it’s always tough after a coaching change. Maybe they can make it back next year.
 

pedro47

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SMU football schedule was very weak compared to Alabama SEC schedule. IMHO

How many games would SMU have won if they were in the SEC Conference?
 

Rolltydr

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SMU football schedule was very weak compared to Alabama SEC schedule. IMHO

How many games would SMU have won if they were in the SEC Conference?
Depending on which SEC teams they theoretically would have played, I don’t think they would have won more than 8. Their BIG 12 schedule was pathetic. And I’m not saying Alabama deserved to get in. They didn’t because they lost 2 games (Vandy and Oklahoma) that can’t be overlooked just because they turned around and beat Georgia. Twelve is too many teams. If they just had to expand, they should have stopped at no more than 8. There just aren’t that many elite teams.
 

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SMU football schedule was very weak compared to Alabama SEC schedule. IMHO

How many games would SMU have won if they were in the SEC Conference?
If they'd had Tennessee's schedule, my guess is that they'd also be around 10-2. Tennessee won 2 games against teams with winning records. Their non--con opponents records were a combined 11-38. Overall record of opponents was 62-84 (.425).

As I've stated, there just aren't enough games inter-conference to statistically say much about relative conference strength. Every year you get a few select non--con games matching upper level teams, but it's a very small sample size, relatively speaking. How many out-of-conference games were there among the 12 playoff teams? I can think of 2 (UGA v Clemson and Oregon v BSU -- both very early in the season).

And, in a sport where rosters completely turn over every 4 years, players continuously move via the portal, and coaches get poached and fired left and right, prior year results are no longer a significant consideration. Look at Arizona State -- door mat (3-9) in the P12 last year and now in the playoffs. Or Indiana -- a great coaching hire and portal raid turns them from 3-9 to an 11-1 playoff team (with 20 former G5 players on their roster). On the flip side, FSU -- undefeated last year and can't get out of their own way this year.

CFB has changed considerably. IMO, mostly for the worse. Not a big fan of regional conference destruction nor the current implementation of the portal or NIL. But expanding the playoff was a change for the better. There's no perfect number of playoff teams, but I'd rather err on the side of including more teams than excluding undefeated and/or deserving teams. What happened to FSU last year was borderline criminal. And what's so bad about more college football?
 

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If they'd had Tennessee's schedule, my guess is that they'd also be around 10-2. Tennessee won 2 games against teams with winning records. Their non--con opponents records were a combined 11-38. Overall record of opponents was 62-84 (.425).

As I've stated, there just aren't enough games inter-conference to statistically say much about relative conference strength. Every year you get a few select non--con games matching upper level teams, but it's a very small sample size, relatively speaking. How many out-of-conference games were there among the 12 playoff teams? I can think of 2 (UGA v Clemson and Oregon v BSU -- both very early in the season).

And, in a sport where rosters completely turn over every 4 years, players continuously move via the portal, and coaches get poached and fired left and right, prior year results are no longer a significant consideration. Look at Arizona State -- door mat (3-9) in the P12 last year and now in the playoffs. Or Indiana -- a great coaching hire and portal raid turns them from 3-9 to an 11-1 playoff team (with 20 former G5 players on their roster). On the flip side, FSU -- undefeated last year and can't get out of their own way this year.

CFB has changed considerably. IMO, mostly for the worse. Not a big fan of regional conference destruction nor the current implementation of the portal or NIL. But expanding the playoff was a change for the better. There's no perfect number of playoff teams, but I'd rather err on the side of including more teams than excluding undefeated and/or deserving teams. What happened to FSU last year was borderline criminal. And what's so bad about more college football?
I disagree that expanding the playoff is an improvement. 80% of the semifinal games were blowouts with just four teams. Diluting the field even more isn’t likely to create better games. Oh, and FSU got blown to pieces in their bowl game last year by another team, Georgia, which didn’t make the playoff. That’s what was almost criminal. 🫣
 
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