The point of the discussion has nothing to do with when the reservations are initially made. It has to do with what happens to the reservations, whenever they are made, after the 60-day mark. Maybe examples will illustrate the point:
8 units are available for a Prime time reservation. The first 8 people in line get them for full points price. They all go on their reserved vacation. Simple. No developer points are freed-up to compete with other owners.
8 units are available for a Prime time reservation. The first 8 people in line get them for full points price, let's say 300k per unit. 3 Platinum VIPs successfully cancel and rebook the same reservation at a 50% discount. This frees up 450k (for the arithmetically challenged, 3 times 300k =900k, 50% times 900k = 450k) points that can be used to compete with other owners for other reservations. Here is the key difference (and I cannot fathom why it is so difficult for people to comprehend), if there were a waitlist or other such disincentive, those 3 VIPs would not have cancelled their reservation to try to rebook it. Either they would not have made it in first place, because they intended to rent it using the 50% discount to make it competitive, and they know with a waitlist the chance for a 50% discount is non-existent, or they would just keep it to use it, because that is what they intended when they made the reservation. Either way, 450k points of developer points are not freed-up to compete with other owners for other reservations. (Is this really so hard to understand?)
With a waitlist, any Prime season cancellations are taken by owners willing to pay the full points price; no developer points are freed to compete with other owner's reservations. (I feel that I am repeating myself).
two points
1) if there are 8 reservations available after the 60 mark and Ive made this reservation for myself, instead of cancelling and re booking, I will book and cancel. and when Im done there will still be 8 reservations available
2) if there are 8 reservations available after the 60 day and my intent was to rent for a profit then I can do the same thing; book and then cancel. But the reality is; if there are 8 available reservations, and I havent rented mine, Ive made a mistake,,,its not a high demand time and I probably wont be able to rent it for the profit I want, even with my discount, so Ill probably just cancel
I may do this differently than others, but if Im dealing with a reservation Ive rented, I dont cancel and re book
How do you feel about me watching the computer for hours on end at 15-20 days before a big event and grabbing cancellations, at my discounted price, to rent? I've taken a prime week at a discounted price away from someone willing to pay full price....my bad
I know that the purpose of the discounts is to provide a incentive to the folks that spend big money with the developer. And that its intended purpose is to use up surplus inventory. That there is loophole created that allows discounts for prime weeks is an unintended side effect. I fail to see however, how that loophole hurts anyone else
I dont disagree with your math and I dont disagree about developer points, I just dont see how they make your case that when I do cancel and rebook, its done at the expense of someone else
If there is a waiting list I will lose the ability to get the discount for the prime weeks I want, but I will still get my reservations, because Im buying for ARP and I get up early. And if I dont get what I need, Illl be first on the waiting list...Ill find a way... (am I repeating myself again?) Ill find the unintended consequences and use them