Here we go again. E.bram, you really don't know what you're talking about. As near as I can tell you have no actual background in the industry at all and you certainly don't understand the life cycle of a resort. I'll try to take your points one at a time and I'm answering you only because your statement is so completely wrong that I don't want our owners to be concerned by your incorrect speculations.
Whether the prime week owners convert (or in fact any owners convert) to Festiva makes no difference at all to the resort. The resort does not benefit either way.
You next statement about owners bailing is true but you assume that, when owners bail, there is no mechanism to replace them with new owners. In some resorts that is true and I have consulted with resorts where this has happened and the resort had to close (Cap'n Gladcliff for those of you who don't believe me and want to look it up). If there is a sales program, old owners are being replaced by new owners and the resort is financially healthy. Perhaps you'd like to talk about what's been happening at your resort, the Oceancliff?
Southcape is not going to revert to whole ownership. The resort is basically healthy and is going to get even stronger, not weaker.
If you don't think the Cape is busy all year round, come down on a Friday afternoon and try driving in Hyannis in the middle of February. The actual high demand now runs from May until the middle of October. We haven't had an 8 week season here since I was in high school and, before anyone can say it, yes, it was a long time ago. My other company, IVS Realty has been successfully selling off season weeks on Cape Cod since 1992 and we're still selling them with no problems.
Off season owners will not be subsidizing the prime season. All maintenance fees are created equal and one time period does not subsidize another.
You completely misunderstand and misrepresent points whether its Festiva points, RCI points or Bluegreen points. That's simply not the way points works. You are correct that, if every off season points owner reserved a prime week the system would collapse. But come on, if an off season week is worth 2,000 points and a prime week is worth 8,000 points, the off season owner simply doesn't have enough points to reserve a prime week. Your scenario can't work and hasn't happened in almost 20 years of there being points products.
Yes, that's right, points have been around for over 20 years. I worked with one of the first points programs in the world in South Africa in 1990. Do you truly believe that RCI would begin a points program if it was likely to collapse the system???
Saying the system is no good because you can buy Wyndham points on Ebay for $1.00 doesn't mean anything either. I collect vintage guitars and recently bought a 1968 gibson J-45 for $30.00 on Ebay because no one else bid. That guitar is still worth a couple of grand and I've actually sold guitars on Ebay for thousands.
It's these kinds of rumor and unfounded speculations that can cause far more problems that anything else and that's why I've chosen to respond to you.
Cliff