Based on the data on the NY Times dashboard, Florida is moving in the right direction. The 7-day average of daily positive tests peaked in mid-July at just under 12,000/day. That's now down almost half to about 6,500/day. The 7-day average of daily deaths peaked 2-3 weeks later in early August, and now appear to be starting a downward trend also, although that trend isn't established enough yet to say conclusively that a downward trend in deaths is truly established. Since the early indications look like what you would expect to happen - deaths peak two-three weeks after cases peak - it looks like the trend truly is down and Florida is doing much better, so what
@Dean says about what he is seeing on the ground seems to be accurately reflected in the statistics. You can also see almost identical charts for the other so-called "sun-belt hot-spots" like Arizona and South Carolina. Texas is also seeing a down-tick, but their down trends are not as significant as in the other states. Not sure why Texas is dropping slower, but their hot spots seem to be concentrated along the rural Rio Grande Valley and other rural areas (maybe migrant workers?)
Interestingly, when you look at the raw data, the ONLY U.S. states currently seeing a 7-day up-trend in cases are Virginia, Illinois, Hawaii, South Dakota, Rhode Island, and Massachusetts. There are 19 states where cases are decreasing, and 26 states where trends are basically flat over the last week or two. Also, if you look at the charts for these 26 "flat" states, it looks like as many as half or more of those are also starting a down-trend, the trend just isn't established enough yet for the 7-day or 14-day metrics to shift to an established downtrend and move them into the declining category. But if the current trends continue over the next week or so, I would expect the number of states with decreasing case averages to rise significantly. The interesting thing is you would never know this from watching or reading most media accounts of the current trends. Much of that reporting is still focusing on the "surge in the sun belt" when that surge is clearly waning. Hope it continues.
Here is the chart for Florida:
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