There are different pools but not the way you are thinking. A points exchanger or points owner can not reserve in to a specific resort/view/season unless Marriott holds some inventory for that resort/season/view. If points inventory exists and then it is exhausted then no further points reservations can be made.
If there are 10 villas in an OF view at resort X for week 52 during platinum season and Marriott has 50 platinum OF weeks in it's inventory, then you could conceivably be competing against 50 people. But these people just replaced owners that could have reserved the same time. Those 50 people are out of the picture because they gave up their week for points to go somewhere else.
In the end there is a finite number of people you can possibly compete with, that number doesn't increase with new points owners. There is only a finite number of weeks at any resort.
I don't agree. Let me give you an example that illustrates my concern. I think a lot of people are missing this issue.
At Mountainside there are 200 villas. Lets say there are 18 weeks in platinum season (I didnt bother to count, but I think that is close). So there are a total of 3600 platinum weeks at the resort.
For the sake of argument, lets say that the four weeks from mid february through mid march are the most desireable weeks. There are a total of 800 villas available during those four prime weeks. That represents approximately 22 percent of the total platinum season inventory.
Half of those 800 units, or 400 units, are made available to multiple week owners at 13 months. Under the current system, a multiple week owner who calls in at 13 months is competing ONLY against other multiple week owners for those 400 units. Again, for the sake of argument, lets say that there are only 200 folks who are multiple week owners at Mountainside, all of whom own 2 weeks at Mountainside. In my example, ALL 200 of those multiple week owenrs will be able to reserve two weeks (400 weeks total) during one of the four prime weeks betwen mid february and mid march at 13 months.
Now, let's assume that of the 3600 platinum units at Mountainside, 500 owners decide to turn their units in for points in a given year. That represents only approximately 14 percent of all platinum units at Mountainside. Let's assume further that everyone who turned in a week is a single week owner. As a result, there are now a total of 500 platinum units at Mountainside available to reserve using points.
ANY points owner who wants to reserve one of the prime weeks at Mountainside will be eligible to do so at 13 months, since it takes 6900 points to reserve one of those weeks at Mountainside, and anyone with that many points would qualify for premiere status (ignoring banking and borrowing for the moment).
So, if ANYWHERE within the entire marriott system (of 400,000 owners!!!!) there are 500 points owners with at least 6900 points who desire to reserve one of the prime weeks at Mountainside, they can do so at 13 months, and they would be competing with the 400 multiple week owners at Mountainside, at 13 months, for the same inventory.
If inventory is allocated between weeks and points on a first come, first serve basis, then points owners could conceivably take ALL of the prime reservations otherwise available at 13 months to multiple weeks owners. Maybe they get less than all, but they certainly get some. On an even, head to head competition, if they were all to go for the prime weeks, points owners would likely get 5/9, and weeks owners would likey get 4/9, since that is how the number of owners eligible to reserve the units at 13 months is distributed.
The above would be true despite the fact that only 14% of platinum season units at Mountainside were in the points pool, if there is not a pro rata allocation of inventory between weeks and points for every single week in the platinum season, on a week by week basis. If there was a pro rata allocation, then 86% of the prime weeks, or 344 units, would remain available to multiple week owners who have not converted to points, and only 56 units would be available to points owners. This would be fairer than a pure first come/ first serve allocation, but even a week by week pro rata allocation puts multiple week owners at a disadvantage compared to where they are currently, unless ALL of the folks who have converted to points are multiple week owners.
If the only folks who turn their weeks in for points are single week owners, then there are STILL 400 multiple week owners who have not turned their weeks in for points, and they still would like to reserve one of the 400 prime weeks, but they are now competing against points owners, who are entitled to make 500 reservations at Mountainside in platinum season, which is more than the total number of prime weeks released at 13 months.
I hope that was clear. Those of you who say that this is a non issue are, I believe, missing a critical point.