I still see OSU cracking the top four if Iowa beats Michigan State and Oklahoma falters.
Oklahoma's season is over - I don't think they can "falter" at this point.
I still see OSU cracking the top four if Iowa beats Michigan State and Oklahoma falters.
The game against the Spartans was the turning point of the season, and the entire OSU organization blew it.
Happy that the Bucks beat TTUN on Saturday, but the victory was bittersweet for me. The game against the Spartans was the turning point of the season, and the entire OSU organization blew it.
if MSU beats Iowa it is almost guaranteed that it will be ND vs. Iowa in the Fiesta. I guess ND vs FSU would have an interesting spin.
It looks like I need Michigan State and Alabama to lose for OSU to get back in the playoffs.
If Mi. State wins and Alabama loses, they may have to go down to Stanford to get the fourth team, assuming they beat USC, to avoid teams playing each other a second time.
If Stanford and Alabama lose, it could go to ND. I immediately put my tix up for sale if they get in. Get your bids ready.
Of course Alabama should not lose so none of this matters but stranger things have happened.
Funny Twitter quote from McMurphy:
If Clemson loses, ACC is out...
if MSU beats Iowa it is almost guaranteed that it will be ND vs. Iowa in the Fiesta. I guess ND vs FSU would have an interesting spin.
(prefacing by saying that I expect Clemson will win...)
but if the ACC conference champion gets left out after winning 12 in a row (with 10 wins over power 5 schools and their only loss in early September to an SEC team back before their hall of fame coach quit on his kids), the committee might as well be honest and admit they consider the NCAA as the power "4" conferences and put the ACC in the "group of 6."
That's been my point all along (actually for years). How Vanderbilt and Indiana are "power schools" and Boise State, BYU, etc aren't is beyond me. The whole system is rigged, and consequently, I don't put anything past the committee. It's pretty obvious to me that in the committee's minds the B12 means Oklahoma and Texas, and the ACC means FSU (and possibly Miami and VaTech if either could pull their heads out and win something). The other schools from those conferences are begrudgingly allowed in IF, and probably only if, they go undefeated. I can almost guarantee that Iowa, and to a slightly lesser extent, Clemson, are a big thorn in their sides.
No doubt the additions of Rutgers, some ACC schools possibly, Colorado have watered down what Power 5 means. Thankfully TCU and up until this year Mizzou have been going well. I think going with the more well known schools is better for ratings but also less likely the team flops and if they do flop that is the bigger story then the selection committee chose the wrong school. If UNC gets in and gets blown out and then Clemson gets blown out on their New Years bowl then it looks like the selection committee made a mistake in picking the 1 loss ACC champion.
More likely that not UNC will not be at the same level next year. So they are less valuable to the committee and espn this year.
Colorado was in the B12 before the P12 and won a NC while in the B12 (1990). And it's certainly not a matter of a recent "watering down" of P5 conferences. Only about 1/3 of P5 schools have ever won a BCS/NY6 bowl game. That's going back 15+ years.
BTW, your "flop" theory is completely unfounded. Know which conference had the highest winning percentage in BCS bowl games? The Mountain West. Know which conference was 2nd? The WAC.
Lastly, why should anyone expect UNC to be worse next year (other than statistical probability)? If you look at Fedora's history, you'll see it took a few years at USM to get them over the hump. Same thing has happened at UNC. Typically, success begets success in CFB, as winning programs become more attractive to recruits. If anything, one should expect UNC to be a consistently legitimate contender in the ACC as long as the staff remains intact.
I would think a Michigan State win helps osu. I am pulling for Iowa. I do like a scenario where MSU, osu, notre dame and even Stanford are left out. Even better with a USC loss.
Lastly, why should anyone expect UNC to be worse next year (other than statistical probability)? If you look at Fedora's history, you'll see it took a few years at USM to get them over the hump. Same thing has happened at UNC. Typically, success begets success in CFB, as winning programs become more attractive to recruits. If anything, one should expect UNC to be a consistently legitimate contender in the ACC as long as the staff remains intact.
Yes Colorado a while ago but is the PAC 10 more competitive because they joined?
The MWC conference has a good BCS bowl game record because only really good teams from their conference got chosen. How would their record be if their conference champion was in a BCS game every year?
UNC is just an example of a good team this year that most likely next year will not be as good.
Good teams usually have a lot of players moving on, very few injuries, easy schedule this year (no Notre Dame, Clemson, FSU, a down USC). Success does bring on more success but whatever happened to the runs of Cal, USF, BC, Rutgers, UK, UL's, Cincy and I am missing a few more.
The point is that adding more teams to P5 conferences has weakened the conferences teams schedules.
And the committee picking power power 5 schools is a safer bet then up and comers no matter who is actually the better team. Even with ratings aside.