You can break even very fast with resale.
I agree completely. But I'd like to reiterate that in the prime locations, new resorts, where no resales are available, the numbers
can work. (It's not guaranteed to work. And in most places it doesn't work. I'm not a cheerleader for timesharing. But timesharing done right is a win-win for everyone -- owners, developers, salespeople. That's how Hapimag (the first timeshare, Switzerland 1963) set the program up.)
The original concept was, "I want to come to this ski resort (or Maui, which was the first US timeshare), every year, the second week in January." Instead of being at the mercy of hotel reservations, random chance, and ever-present inflation, timeshares smoothed out the vacation budget.
It's why the concept became popular in the first place.
It wasn't until later that it became a game-show. Even today, there are resorts where people cheerfully plunk down tens of thousands. They buy from the developer because 1) there aren't better options like resale; and 2) they're spending the money anyway.
"We're spending the money anyway," has always been the best reason to own one of these toys. Even in a case like Aspen, with a family that visits every year to ski, timeshare isn't always the best answer. It takes a certain kind of personality for this to work. My own SWAG estimate is that 40% of the developed world could make use of a good timeshare and it's a great idea for about one in five families. Everyone else should stay far, far away from timeshares, timeshare presentations and anything to do with vacation ownership because they don't have the right temperament.
If developers only built in areas which make sense; and if we got rid of the prizes, OPCs, and ridiculous sales practices; timeshares wouldn't have the awful reputation they have today. That isn't going to happen because P.T. Barnum was right.