- Jul 4, 2017
- Reaction score
- So. California
- Resorts Owned
Hilton Hawaiian Village - Lagoon Tower
Marriott Maui Ocean Club
Deaths lag behind new cases by about 15 or so days. The curve measures new cases. There is a bit of evidence now that it is flattening. Each of the last three days in the US the total number of new cases has increased by about 1000 over the previous day. That's not trivial, but well below exponential doubling. From 9k, to 10k, to 11k. Over 50% of the totals in NY. You can monitor at https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ (note that day/time is GMT). Florida is increasing. California appears to be decreasing quite a bit today. Hawaii hasn't reported any new cases today. I suspect we'll start to see notable regional differences as some states are being much more aggressive than others at trying to contain.I love that I'm not the only one referring to this frequently as the zombie apocalypse
My point was that, if COVID-19 is serious enough in December to have HGVC cancelling reservations, then it must still be a big deal. Yes, it will be mitigated before then but, at present, we are on a path to increase deaths by a factor of 10 every 8.7 days. That will flatten, but when?