I could see the big brand names consolidating together or forming their own mini exchange system between one another.
We own points with Wyndham and something fascinating to me that they have been doing is adding new resorts during this down economy via their WAAM program - they've made deals for new inventory with Smugglers Notch, Reunion in Orlando, Emerald Grande in Destin, FL - it's really pretty brilliant what they are doing. (I'm sure I've forgotten some of the other new locations).
DISCLAIMER: Lots of speculation following, but reflects what I think is possible
You raise an interesting point here, and again, my friends
at Wyndham can provide some insight.
Wyndham manages two timeshare systems: Fairfield and Worldmark. Both completely independent systems. However, Wyndham (in addition to owning RCI) has constructed a mechanism to allow some overlap between the systems. Each year, there are a certain number of properties that are a part of The Exchange Network, that is internal to Wyndham. The properties in TEN change year to year.
As an example, last year I could use my
Worldmark points to book space in Kona Hawaiian (a
Fairfield property). Conversely, I could use my
Wyndham points to book space in Indio (a
Worldmark property).
Wyndham has proven that it is possible to cross systems
Since I'm (positively) speculating on the future of SpinCo, imagine if SpinCo, the only Pure Play timeshare company out there, takes this to the next level and develops an even more impressive inter-system points exchanges.
What if I could use some of my DClub points to book space in Ritz Carlton properties? I'd certainly like to do that. I'm sure there are enrolled members, like me who'd even pay for a special membership to have that cross-system privilege ($XXX/year?). Also, that means I'm not a captive payor, I want to make that payment because I get something for it. And such a system facilitates new points sales because the system has more features.
But be even more ambitious, if you were the CEO. What if SpinCo acquires the management rights to Starwood? Eventually Starwood will realize that developer sales are dead, and managing 14 properties isn't very much fun or profitable. So....now there is a respectable buyer that won't abuse the Westin brand -- so sell/transfer the responsibility to SpinCo.
Spinco gets renamed from SpinCo Marriott to SpinCo Adventures and now has four high quality leisure brands (Marriott, Ritz, Westin and Sheraton). As a Marriott owner, I don't mind if the management company has a different name as long as my property is taken care of. Besides, SpinCo appears to be more owner friendly (big assumption).
And now my ability to cross systems is even more intriguing -- I'm glad I'm paying $XXX/yr for this version of "Interval Gold", because now I can use my SpinCo DClub points to book in Westin St. John/Harborside/Princeville, in addition to Marriott and Ritz. All the sudden, Marriott owners are more interested in enrolling and being a part of SpinCo DClub. And points sales in DClub increase because of the portfolio breadth -- and DClub can earn development fees for new sites with its financial partners -- and new locations can be added.
All, this is an interesting situation, and my comment are hypothetical -- I have no idea what SpinCo is going to do -- 1) fee us to death as captive owners, or 2) find ways to expand their business in a collaborative manner and offer us features and services that we want to pay for and are happy to be a part of.
I'm confident that SpinCo's new management team is aggressive and ambitious -- what an opportunity. I definitely agree with others that fee increases are in our future, but I'm hoping they are not ridiculous and that there may be a valuable network to participate, that is worth the cost.
Interesting stuff....
Best,
Greg
Edited: Wyndham manages, versus owns the two systems