Hurricane Kiko, ? impact on HI?

[mountainboy]

Praying for everyone in HI & hoping no major issue with Kiko...
Have a trip coming up very soon...
Hoping everyone stays safe...

Kiko Weakens, Swells Kicked Up | Weather.com

Kiko is passing north of Hawaii. Here's what the storm will bring to the island chain in terms of impacts.

weather.com

HURRICANE KIKO

 

[mountainboy]

@JohnnyO , Remind me, are you still there for this next week or heading out?
Safe Travels!
Mahalo!

 

[TolmiePeak]

No signs of anyone getting prepared for the Hurricane here. The Iwelei Costco was a complete cluster as usual though.

 

[davidvel]

You can get the most expert, authoritative information at these links:

Forecast Discussion: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDEP1+shtml/060237.shtml?

Forecast Cone and other info:

HURRICANE KIKO

 

[slip]

We are right on the edge of the cone. Might not be golfing on Tuesday if we get some rain from Kiko.

 

[JohnnyO]

@JohnnyO , Remind me, are you still there for this next week or heading out?
Safe Travels!
Mahalo!

We leave tomorrow … just in time I guess. No panic here. I’ve only heard two people mention the hurricane. Pray for Kauai

 

[alwysonvac]

Noticed the following on the Vistana homepage when I logged in this morning.

Here's what the resort page states so far at one of their resorts.

Timeshare Resorts | The Marriott Vacation Clubs

Explore all The Marriott Vacation Clubs timeshare resorts in the most desirable beach, mountain, city, and international destinations. Learn more.

hub.vacationclub.com

 

[mountainboy]

*Supposed to head there on Monday... Shall see...

Current modeling seems to indicate BI escaping direct impact but Kauai & Oahu in the cone although these things change...
+ Most impact on East/Rainy/Windward sides of the islands (as usual), so Waikoloa likely less impacted but let's see...


Per NOAA: 'Swells generated by Kiko are expected to begin reaching the Big
Island and Maui by Sunday. These swells will gradually build and are
forecast to peak along east facing exposures of the Hawaiian Islands
late Monday through midweek, potentially producing life-threatening
surf and rip currents'.

 

[mountainboy]

* I was in NY for Sandy & don't want to go through that again (certainly not for a vacay) :-(
Praying...

 

[mountainboy]

*Concerned about AA flight into KOA during Monday afternoon (based on the projected track)... Will see how it goes... (Should find out more tmrw/Monday for sure). AA and Flighty/FA haven't sent any emails or any advisories, yet..
@Zenichiro & other points/travel experts, what do you suggest doing in such instances? (Presume AA may cancel & rebook to different day, if concern about flying into KOA on Monday). ? Any way to efficiently do this (so not behind 200 or 400 other people (if many days cxl'd) & waiting days to go + little wrinkle of booking this via AY Avios on AA metal, not direct AA pts or cash/CC booking)... (I am cardboard status with AA except holding their CC).
(Obviously most important is safety of everyone & it's just a vacay and if unsafe, ok to wait days or just cancel + most important prayers are for people who ARE in HI, not those, who like me, are just scheduled to go)...
Mahalo!

 

[Henry M.]

If you are concerned about the flight on Monday, you could call the airline through which you made the reservation today or tomorrow and see if they can accommodate a change that suits you. Are you on a Finnair flight number or AA flight number? I'd call the Arline that I booked with regardless of whose metal the flight is on. If they can't help, I'd then try American Airlines and see what they would do for me.

I mostly fly AA. I can cancel a reservation made with miles and book another one. Another thing I would try is to see what is available for me to book. If I found a good alternative, I would book it and then cancel the original flight. However, there may be no good choices available this close to the flight.

 

[Zenichiro]

*Concerned about AA flight into KOA during Monday afternoon (based on the projected track)... Will see how it goes... (Should find out more tmrw/Monday for sure). AA and Flighty/FA haven't sent any emails or any advisories, yet..
@Zenichiro & other points/travel experts, what do you suggest doing in such instances? (Presume AA may cancel & rebook to different day, if concern about flying into KOA on Monday). ? Any way to efficiently do this (so not behind 200 or 400 other people (if many days cxl'd) & waiting days to go + little wrinkle of booking this via AY Avios on AA metal, not direct AA pts or cash/CC booking)... (I am cardboard status with AA except holding their CC).
(Obviously most important is safety of everyone & it's just a vacay and if unsafe, ok to wait days or just cancel + most important prayers are for people who ARE in HI, not those, who like me, are just scheduled to go)...
Mahalo!

If you’re uneasy about Monday’s KOA flight, don’t wait, call Finnair now since you booked with AY Avios, not AA directly.

Keep checking AA’s travel alerts; if they issue a waiver, move your flight earlier/later or reroute to HNL/OGG before cancellations pile up. Having a backup plan ready will save you from waiting behind hundreds of others.

Generally though AA is pretty good about letting you swap flights around once a delay occurs but I’m not 100% sure how they are with partner flights. You may also be able to hold a flight.

Or call Finnair and request to move your KOA flight 24/48 hours earlier or later, or reroute into HNL or OGG with a short interisland hop; monitor AA travel alerts for waivers and be ready to act quickly before cancellations stack up.

 

[davidvel]

*Concerned about AA flight into KOA during Monday afternoon (based on the projected track)... Will see how it goes... (Should find out more tmrw/Monday for sure). AA and Flighty/FA haven't sent any emails or any advisories, yet..
@Zenichiro & other points/travel experts, what do you suggest doing in such instances? (Presume AA may cancel & rebook to different day, if concern about flying into KOA on Monday). ? Any way to efficiently do this (so not behind 200 or 400 other people (if many days cxl'd) & waiting days to go + little wrinkle of booking this via AY Avios on AA metal, not direct AA pts or cash/CC booking)... (I am cardboard status with AA except holding their CC).
(Obviously most important is safety of everyone & it's just a vacay and if unsafe, ok to wait days or just cancel + most important prayers are for people who ARE in HI, not those, who like me, are just scheduled to go)...
Mahalo!

Given the current modeling of predicted wind speeds, there is hardly a chance of winds affecting Air travel to Hawaii.Your airline's webpage will show if they anticipate otherwise. See here: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_ep1+shtml/060832.shtml?tswind120#contents
Yellow is a 50% chance.

 

[mountainboy]

Are you on a Finnair flight number or AA flight number?

AA flight number..

reroute into HNL or OGG

Looks like Oahu or Maui may have a greater probability of issues with the cyclone rather than BI..

checking AA’s travel alerts

They haven't shown any for HI yet but will keep a close eye...

Given the current modeling of predicted wind speeds, there is hardly a chance of winds affecting Air travel to Hawaii.

Hope & pray that remains true...
Unfortunately out of town for a meeting; returning home tmrw afternoon to fly to KOA on Monday morning, so can't go sooner...
AY is a bit of a pain to book/change (for AA), so waiting for now (& hoping & praying everything goes well)...
Mahalo for everyone's excellent recommendations!

 

[slip]

Under the latest model, none of the Hawaii Islands are in the cone now.

 

[JohnnyO]

Acting Governor Sylvia Luke issued an emergency proclamation today at 1:10 p.m. declaring a state of emergency across the entire state of Hawai‘i due to the possible inclement weather posed by Hurricane Kiko.

As of 8 a.m. Friday, September 5, 2025, Hurricane Kiko, a major hurricane located approximately 1,200 miles east-southeast of Hawai‘i, is forecast to approach the islands as a tropical storm early next week.

The disaster emergency relief period will commence immediately and continue through Friday, September 19, 2025, unless extended or terminated earlier.

Get the latest hurricane coverage at KITV.com.

View this content on Instagram

View this content on Instagram

 

[davidvel]

Acting Governor Sylvia Luke issued an emergency proclamation today at 1:10 p.m. declaring a state of emergency across the entire state of Hawai‘i due to the possible inclement weather posed by Hurricane Kiko.

As of 8 a.m. Friday, September 5, 2025, Hurricane Kiko, a major hurricane located approximately 1,200 miles east-southeast of Hawai‘i, is forecast to approach the islands as a tropical storm early next week.

The disaster emergency relief period will commence immediately and continue through Friday, September 19, 2025, unless extended or terminated earlier.

Get the latest hurricane coverage at KITV.com.

View this content on Instagram

View this content on Instagram

The operative words in all that are "is forecast to approach the islands as a tropical storm early next week." The current models forecast the storm shifting northward from HI, with a less than 10% chance of tropical storm strength (>30 mph) winds and zero chance of 50+ mph.

 

[JohnnyO]

The operative words in all that are "is forecast to approach the islands as a tropical storm early next week." The current models forecast the storm shifting northward from HI, with a less than 10% chance of tropical storm strength (>30 mph) winds and zero chance of 50+ mph.

Hawaii needs the rain but not the winds. And GovCo always CYAs.

 

[mountainboy]

Hawaii needs the rain but not the winds. And GovCo always CYAs.

Agree!
Saw the declaration yesterday... Hope it stays away from HI and everyone stays safe and our flight is not disrupted...
Mahalo!

 

[ScoopKona]

Agree!
Saw the declaration yesterday... Hope it stays away from HI and everyone stays safe and our flight is not disrupted...
Mahalo!

Hurricanes are either: A) Boring; or B) Terrifying. I've been through both.

I live in a relatively safe spot. But I'm still bringing tools inside and generally buttoning up. Worst case scenario, I have tidied up but didn't really need to. Oh, well.

Based on the cone (which anyone who was on Kauai when Iniki hit can tell you can change instantly), we're looking at a big nothing-burger. I expect loads of rain. And I expect power outages. All it takes is a large branch falling (which happens on clear days, too.) So you should know where the closest grill is where you're staying. And hit a local grocery (I recommend Farm House in Kainaliu for local fish/meat/produce). Buy enough food for a couple meals and be set to fire up the grill. If everyone is without power, it beats eating Chef Boyardee straight out of a can.

And if it's "business as usual," you still have something nice to throw on the grill. I'm marinading I'o Ranch flank steak to make carne asada. A visitor from New Mexico brought me Hatch chile (traded for coffee), so I have a superlative meal ahead.

Besides the beef, Farm House has 100%-local salsa made by Chaba. Her juice and salsas are first-rate (better ingredients, better salsa). And avocados are FINALLY starting to come in. You should show up first thing. Because the very last mangoes of the season were dropped off yesterday. (I was dropping off coffee at the same time.) There will likely be a few left. Keitt mangoes.

 

[davidvel]

And now back to our regular programming following those commercial messages . . .

 

[mountainboy]

we're looking at a big nothing-burger. I expect loads of rain. And I expect power outages

Buy enough food for a couple meals and be set to fire up the grill

Absolutely! Plan to do so!
Mahalo!

 

[Tamaradarann]

Hurricanes are either: A) Boring; or B) Terrifying. I've been through both.

I live in a relatively safe spot. But I'm still bringing tools inside and generally buttoning up. Worst case scenario, I have tidied up but didn't really need to. Oh, well.

Based on the cone (which anyone who was on Kauai when Iniki hit can tell you can change instantly), we're looking at a big nothing-burger. I expect loads of rain. And I expect power outages. All it takes is a large branch falling (which happens on clear days, too.) So you should know where the closest grill is where you're staying. And hit a local grocery (I recommend Farm House in Kainaliu for local fish/meat/produce). Buy enough food for a couple meals and be set to fire up the grill. If everyone is without power, it beats eating Chef Boyardee straight out of a can.

And if it's "business as usual," you still have something nice to throw on the grill. I'm marinading I'o Ranch flank steak to make carne asada. A visitor from New Mexico brought me Hatch chile (traded for coffee), so I have a superlative meal ahead.

Besides the beef, Farm House has 100%-local salsa made by Chaba. Her juice and salsas are first-rate (better ingredients, better salsa). And avocados are FINALLY starting to come in. You should show up first thing. Because the very last mangoes of the season were dropped off yesterday. (I was dropping off coffee at the same time.) There will likely be a few left. Keitt mangoes.

This is off subject but since the Hurricane is nothing I thought I'd bring up something that may be of a concern. You mentinoned dropping off coffee I was wondering what was the situation with the available workers to pick the coffee on Hawaii Island.

 

[ScoopKona]

This is off subject but since the Hurricane is nothing I thought I'd bring up something that may be of a concern. You mentinoned dropping off coffee I was wondering what was the situation with the available workers to pick the coffee on Hawaii Island.

Doesn't affect us. We do all our own work around here.

There are an alarming number of farms which have given up. They're letting the fruit rot on the bush. You can watch as the coffee cherry goes from green to yellow to red to purple to black. Anything purple-or-later is unusable. I live dead-center in coffee-farm central. And except for the really big farms, more than half aren't being worked. Expect Kona coffee to skyrocket in price as supply dries up.

Meanwhile, Ka'u coffee is sitting in warehouses unsold. People should seek that out -- bargains to be had. Many people prefer Ka'u to Kona. Just seeking out real Hawaiian coffee is good enough -- a rising tide lifts all boats. Sadly, most people see "10% Kona Blend" and think that's good enough. It's almost certainly counterfeit and contains 0% Hawaiian coffee. (If it really was a 10% blend, it would cost double all the rest of the coffee in the bulk area of Kroger.)

 

[Tamaradarann]

Doesn't affect us. We do all our own work around here.

There are an alarming number of farms which have given up. They're letting the fruit rot on the bush. You can watch as the coffee cherry goes from green to yellow to red to purple to black. Anything purple-or-later is unusable. I live dead-center in coffee-farm central. And except for the really big farms, more than half aren't being worked. Expect Kona coffee to skyrocket in price as supply dries up.

Meanwhile, Ka'u coffee is sitting in warehouses unsold. People should seek that out -- bargains to be had. Many people prefer Ka'u to Kona. Just seeking out real Hawaiian coffee is good enough -- a rising tide lifts all boats. Sadly, most people see "10% Kona Blend" and think that's good enough. It's almost certainly counterfeit and contains 0% Hawaiian coffee. (If it really was a 10% blend, it would cost double all the rest of the coffee in the bulk area of Kroger.)

That is great that you and your family can handle all the work yourselves. How are the really big farms able to have enough workers to pick the coffee beans?