2) 10% AMORTIZATION APPROACH
Your alternative approach of amortizing the upfront cost over 10 years is another way to account for the upfront cost, but in that case, since we are analyzing just one 7 night trip, we must only use the upfront cost for the points used for that one trip. So, for upfront cost, I'll use our real average per-point upfront cost of our Trust points of a little over $11/point, heck I'll even round up to $12/point to account for closing costs, etc. I'm intentionally not averaging in the upfront cost of the points we get from that resale Barony week to calculate the average cost, since those only wound up costing us about $2/point to buy. If you calculate the total upfront cost of our entire 6375 usable points (including the week), our cost actually falls to only $8.63/point, but I'll use the higher $12/point number to be more reflective of the return on the Trust points specifically. So, using that:
Seven nights at 1BR OF Maui Ocean Club Lahaina/Napili - 5675 points.
Maintenance fee cost of those 5675 points at our cost of $0.69: $3916 or $560/night
Upfront purchase cost of 5675 points at $12/point: $68,100
10% amortization of upfront cost: $6810 or $972/night
Total pro-forma "cost" of the Maui week including actual costs and amortized up front cost: $10,726 or $1532/night
Cost of rental of same accommodation on Marriott.com, including taxes: $9735 or $1390/night
So, in this case, you are correct and the rental is slightly cheaper. It looks even worse for someone who has to pay current Points prices. But, in my opinion, the fallacy in the 10 year amortization approach is you are artificially forcing the entire upfront cost to be spread over just ten years. In my option, anyone who makes a timeshare points purchase decision - especially one at developer prices - with just a 10 year time horizon is making a big mistake. We have already owned our MVC points for 8 years and expect to use them well into our 70s if not longer into our early 80s, so we purchased with a 20+ year horizon. Given that, amortizing the upfront purchase over just 10 years is not reflective of reality. For us, 20+ years would be more realistic. If you did that, that $6810 ten-year upfront cost amortization changes to a $3405 twenty-year amortization. So the per night amount falls to $486, making the total pro-forma cost $1046/night - $344/night less than the $1390/night rental cost.
It does not seem you are using the best available rate on Marriott.com when you make your comparisons. When I used the owner code and I got $956 per night 1BR OF unit which is significantly better than $1390 that you mentioned. You also get a minimum of 67,726 Bonvoy points for your stay (worth about $475) when you book through Marriott.com. This would bring your actual cost on Marriott.com to $888 per night and I should mention that if you have any Bonvoy status, you can get more points. I do not agree with using zero cost of capital indefinitely, but even so, it seems there is no saving whether you use 10 or 20 years amortization. I think we are also not taking into account that when you own points, you always need to own a bit more. I wonder what the average annual waste per trust point owner, points that expire without being used. I doubt it is zero. The owner rate is also more flexible, and you do not have to deal with banking deadlines, expiring points for late cancellations etc. I also believe the current hotel prices are inflated, we have to see how things shake out once the revenge travel subsides. Maybe they will be higher, but I doubt it, it is more likely we may see a lot more deals going forward.
Marriott's Maui Ocean Club - Lahaina & Napili Towers
Guest room, 1 King, Sofa bed, Oceanfront, Balcony
Check in: Friday, March 3, 2023
Check out: Friday, March 10, 2023
Summary of Charges 824.00USD Avg./night + 1,004.61USD Taxes and fees 6,772.61USD
Cancelling Your Reservation
You may cancel your reservation for no charge before 11:59 PM local hotel time on February 18, 2023 (14 day before arrival)
Last edited: