It depends on when you want to go to Hawaii. If you are willing to travel in the fall, I think your trade would be successful. However, if you are looking for a peak summer or winter week, I wouldn't count on it.
There are two things that make Hawaii Marriott's a hard trade.
- Most of the Marriott properties are lock off. So a lot of owners lock their units off and trade the smaller sides, this leaves a lot of 1BR and studio units sitting in II.
- Marriott offered a lot of DC points for enrolled Hawaii owners. This means that a lot of Hawaii owners enrolled in the Destinations Club program and a pretty high percentage convert their weeks to points. This leaves fewer deposits in II.
I think you will have the most success trying to trade in to Kauai (Waiohaii or Kauai Beach CLub) followed by Oahu (Ko'Olina). If you can get a good trade that will work, you can always add Eplus or if you are in DC you can retrade inside 60 days when more units seem to popup in II.