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Bowl Predictions 2021: College Football Playoff Predictions for Top Teams

I am sure the above four teams will be in in some sort of order, but as a contrarian, I think Georgia should be dropped.

Do I think Georgia is one of the best four teams? Yes. But, there have been those advocating an eight game playoff. From that perspective, Georgia lost in the first round. If there had been an eight game playoff and Georgia was given a second chance, everyone would be scandalized. So why not look at last nights game as a play into the playoff game?

(Note: I don't believe and never have believed that playoffs necessarily determine who has the best team. If you did a probability calculation and thought that one team was so dominant that it would be every other team four out of five times, their chances of winning an eight game playoff is about 50%. Upsets happen. Playoffs are not a necessary determiner of who has the best team.)

PS - Did I mention that I am a contrarian?
 
I think the main reason that Alabama was ranked #1 over Michigan is to avoid another Alabama-Georgia game in the first round. Cincinnati was not going to be rated over Georgia, so this was their best alternative.
 
I suspect there is a good chance that Cincinnati will give Alabama a better game than Georgia did. Combination of incentive for Cincinnati and a little complacency for Alabama. Nonetheless Alabama wins...

George
 
I suspect there is a good chance that Cincinnati will give Alabama a better game than Georgia did. Combination of incentive for Cincinnati and a little complacency for Alabama. Nonetheless Alabama wins...

George
I just hope UC makes a strong showing. Their top running back transferred from Alabama and likely looks forward to playing against them. UC has a terrible kicker, so that could easily cost them the game. They should try to recruit someone from their soccer teams.
 
Michigan lost to a 10-2 Spartan team, GA lost to a 1 loss Bama who you even say should be #1. How did Michigan have a better season than Georgia? I’ll give you they won their conference, and the committee may weigh that more heavily and put them at 2. If so, fine. I actually wish they would put Michigan at 1 and Bama at 2. I just don’t think they will. It’s an opinion.

Because Michigan lost a close game on the road to a team that views that win as their Super Bowl who also had, at the time, the leader for the Heisman Trophy. Georgia got demolished by Alabama. In fact, if MSU didn’t get completely buried and Walker didn’t get hurt, he very well may have won the Heisman.

Both teams had very good seasons and deserve to be playoff bound. In case you were looking at the pundits today, there were those that said Michigan deserved the #1 ranking and Georgia should be out of the playoffs completely. Not my opinion, but there are those that said it.

Look, I get it, SEC - SEC - SEC and all. To some, they are in a class all themselves. I still have my doubts on Michigan. Like I said last night, I’m about as jaded as I can be after the last 15 years of Rich Rod (you all dodged a bullet when he turned you down in ‘06), Brady Hoke, Jim Tressel (and his drug sniffing dogs/fire alarm pulling shenanigans), Urban Meyer running unchecked at OSU and just plain old UM malaise. I fully expect that something stupid will happen, the ball won’t bounce right or UM will be hit with Covid right before the game. Those are the types of things that has happened to us since ‘04. Me predicting those things doesn’t diminish what UM has accomplished and a close loss (give back the 4 points that was taken from UM on a touchdown that should never have been reversed and they may very well be undefeated) to a 10-2 MSU doesn’t take away the rest of what they did.

I appreciate your candor in the matter, but if the only retort you have is the team that Georgia lost to was better, than we are probably done here. Good luck against Cinci!
 
I am sure the above four teams will be in in some sort of order, but as a contrarian, I think Georgia should be dropped.

Do I think Georgia is one of the best four teams? Yes. But, there have been those advocating an eight game playoff. From that perspective, Georgia lost in the first round. If there had been an eight game playoff and Georgia was given a second chance, everyone would be scandalized. So why not look at last nights game as a play into the playoff game?

(Note: I don't believe and never have believed that playoffs necessarily determine who has the best team. If you did a probability calculation and thought that one team was so dominant that it would be every other team four out of five times, their chances of winning an eight game playoff is about 50%. Upsets happen. Playoffs are not a necessary determiner of who has the best team.)

PS - Did I mention that I am a contrarian?

Then why not drop another team two weeks ago, or last week?
Let's drop Michigan two weeks ago. After all, "THE OSU" was going to take it all, right?.....

Let's look at ALL of the #2 ranked teams during the season, obviously the fast-rising heir apparents for the NCAA championship trophy...
after all "GA isn't worthy", we all know it, and it's only a matter of time that GA folds.......if you're not sure, ask Herbie.....aka Kirk Herbstreit.
So who's on the rise each week, reaching #2 , and next to clobber Georgia, ranked # 1 all year?
Who's gonna take it all? Who will supplant GA?
Obviously it's Oklahoma .........uhhh wait! it's Cincinnati.......uhhh, no, Iowa .......uhhhh, no it's "who else"...."THE" OSU,
.....so, uhhhh, what the heck is going on??? All were ranked #2 at some point. Where are they?
Now I'm confused.........
So, exactly WHEN should we drop teams BEFORE the playoffs? Early on....But NO....Wait until the last week? Brilliant.

Drop UGA now? that's a funny one.
GA deserves to be in it more than ANY other team because they stayed atop the list as #1 for the whole season......
and every ESPN panelist and NCAA coach said so....
And for those saying now that they had an easy schedule, NO....... they beat several SEC teams that could have at any moment beat them----
it happens.
Any SEC team can rise up any given week, and history proves it.....Look at Auburn vs Alabama, and Kentucky beat Florida and LSU,
and regardless of opinion, playing in the SEC is brutal week after week. GA beat Auburn, GA beat Florida---huge rivalry games like AL vs Auburn
in the triple overtime last week. It can be close or an upset, but SEC teams are battle tough and have the athletes.
Those who hate the SEC, get over it.

AND, Michigan lost to Michigan State, another reason to drop them 2 weeks ago if your premise holds.
WHY would you give Michigan ITS second chance now. Losing to Michigan State is far worse than losing to Alabama.
We'll see how it all shakes out. I believe Michigan deserves to be in the top 4, but GA even more so.
Let Cincinnati take on Alabama...then you'll see if Cincinnati deserves the plaudits it's gotten this year AND in years prior....
It's "here we go again", I say.
But if Cincinnati does well, even wins it all, I'll be a believer. It's only because "spiritually I'm from Missouri"---the SHOW ME state!
I'm not inherently against Cincinnati, but their plight does get old to hear annually. GA beat them by one point last year in a bowl game,
but guaranteed, GA was not there in spirit, and the game meant little to the players. They tend to do that.
But still, a slim victory.
How does that stack up to Cincinnati beats Tulsa by only 8 and Navy by only 7.
Guess we should have dropped Cincinnati from the list a few weeks ago for poor showings against "far inferior programs"??
Were those similar to GA's losing to Alabama, THE perennial powerhouse football program in modern NCAA history?

Top 3 in playoffs should be AL, MI, and GA....and a toss up for #4. Because I firmly believe Baylor or Oklahoma State could beat Cincinnati.
YET political correctness reigns. Yes, let there be an 8-team playoff. ...I'm OK with it .......

And btw, "playoffs" are the only way to determine a champion.
Look at Major League Baseball, where one run in the bottom of the ninth in game 7 on a bloop single can doom the opposing team. Fair???
Hockey? Where a slip on the ice, or a cheap shot, can lead to a goal and a Stanley Cup....... yes, in a playoff.
PGA Golf, where a missed one-foot putt can give away a major tournament win, worth about 2 million, or try $15,000,000 in the FedEx Cup "playoff".
Tennis & Wimbledon? Where one loose swing can lose it all, even after having played hard and hung around "dead even" for 4-5 hours.
..........(Djokovic beat Federer in the final set of Wimbledon 13-12 in a tie-break in 2019.
..........One true champion and one true loser in that one??? Fair??? Fine hair you're splitting there. But it's SPORTS.)
World Cup Soccer, where a championship match can be decided by penalty kicks...in my opinion the most imbecilic method of deciding a winner.

Final word....Don't lose a playoff game, because the final winner gets the trophy.
I think it should be and WILL BE Alabama this year....they have been #1 for me all season, IMHO, regardless of polls.
And those who know Alabama and the talent in the SEC probably felt the same. I heard it over and over.
They are pure class and had some strange games, but they are where they should be. Better and deeper in talent than any other team,
with the greatest college football COACH of all time..
Take the #2 & 3 teams and form an all-star team----Alabama could beat them!

BTW, I've also been a huge Michigan fan since my teen years. Very happy to see them in their position---they do have a shot at it.
That was one of the best games vs "THE osu" I've ever seen. Gratifying beyond measure.
But......As much as I am a die-hard GA fan, I concede that AL will ultimately reign again this year..... Roger that!
 
Last edited:
I suspect there is a good chance that *Cincinnati will give Alabama a better game than Georgia did. Combination of incentive for Cincinnati and a little complacency for Alabama. Nonetheless Alabama wins...
George

*like they played Tulsa and Navy?
 
Then why not drop another team two weeks ago, or last week?
Let's drop Michigan two weeks ago. After all, "THE OSU" was going to take it all, right?.....

Let's look at ALL of the #2 ranked teams during the season, obviously the fast-rising heir apparents for the NCAA championship trophy...
after all "GA isn't worthy", we all know it, and it's only a matter of time that GA folds.......if you're not sure, ask Herbie.....aka Kirk Herbstreit.
So who's on the rise each week, reaching #2 , and next to clobber Georgia, ranked # 1 all year?
Who's gonna take it all? Who will supplant GA?
Obviously it's Oklahoma .........uhhh wait! it's Cincinnati.......uhhh, no, Iowa .......uhhhh, no it's "who else"...."THE" OSU,
.....so, uhhhh, what the heck is going on??? All were ranked #2 at some point. Where are they?
Now I'm confused.........
So, exactly WHEN should we drop teams BEFORE the playoffs? Early on....But NO....Wait until the last week? Brilliant.

Drop UGA now? that's a funny one.
GA deserves to be in it more than ANY other team because they stayed atop the list as #1 for the whole season......
and every ESPN panelist and NCAA coach said so....
And for those saying now that they had an easy schedule, NO....... they beat several SEC teams that could have at any moment beat them----
it happens.
Any SEC team can rise up any given week, and history proves it.....Look at Auburn vs Alabama, and Kentucky beat Florida and LSU,
and regardless of opinion, playing in the SEC is brutal week after week. GA beat Auburn, GA beat Florida---huge rivalry games like AL vs Auburn
in the triple overtime last week. It can be close or an upset, but SEC teams are battle tough and have the athletes.
Those who hate the SEC, get over it.

AND, Michigan lost to Michigan State, another reason to drop them 2 weeks ago if your premise holds.
WHY would you give Michigan ITS second chance now. Losing to Michigan State is far worse than losing to Alabama.
We'll see how it all shakes out. I believe Michigan deserves to be in the top 4, but GA even more so.
Let Cincinnati take on Alabama...then you'll see if Cincinnati deserves the plaudits it's gotten this year AND in years prior....
It's "here we go again", I say.
But if Cincinnati does well, even wins it all, I'll be a believer. It's only because "spiritually I'm from Missouri"---the SHOW ME state!
I'm not inherently against Cincinnati, but their plight does get old to hear annually. GA beat them by one point last year in a bowl game,
but guaranteed, GA was not there in spirit, and the game meant little to the players. They tend to do that.
But still, a slim victory.
How does that stack up to Cincinnati beats Tulsa by only 8 and Navy by only 7.
Guess we should have dropped Cincinnati from the list a few weeks ago for poor showings against "far inferior programs"??
Were those similar to GA's losing to Alabama, THE perennial powerhouse football program in modern NCAA history?

Top 3 in playoffs should be AL, MI, and GA....and a toss up for #4. Because I firmly believe Baylor or Oklahoma State could beat Cincinnati.
YET political correctness reigns. Yes, let there be an 8-team playoff. ...I'm OK with it .......

And btw, "playoffs" are the only way to determine a champion.
Look at Major League Baseball, where one run in the bottom of the ninth in game 7 on a bloop single can doom the opposing team. Fair???
Hockey? Where a slip on the ice, or a cheap shot, can lead to a goal and a Stanley Cup....... yes, in a playoff.
PGA Golf, where a missed one-foot putt can give away a major tournament win, worth about 2 million, or try $15,000,000 in the FedEx Cup "playoff".
Wimbledon? Where one loose swing can lose it all, even after having played hard and hung around "dead even" for 4-5 hours.
..........(Djokovic beat Federer in the final set of Wimbledon 13-12 in a tie-break in 2019.
One true champion and one true loser??? Fair??? Fine hair you're splitting there. But it's SPORTS.)
World Cup Soccer, where a championship match can be decided by penalty kicks...in my opinion the most imbecilic method of deciding a winner.

Final word....Don't lose a playoff game, because the final winner gets the trophy.
I think it should be and WILL BE Alabama this year....they have been #1 for me all season, IMHO, regardless of polls.
And for those who know Alabama and the talent in the SEC probably felt the same. I heard it over and over.
They are pure class and had some strange games, but they are where they should be. Better and deeper in talent than any other team,
with the greatest college football COACH of all time..
Take the #2 & 3 teams and form an all-star team----Alabama could beat them!
As much as I am a die-hard GA fan, I concede that AL reigns again..... Roger that!

I’m surprised you haven’t been invited onto the committee ;)

Cheers
 
I’m surprised you haven’t been invited onto the committee ;)
Cheers

Why thank you, that's mighty kind......I would accept.
Careful, it's a Black Diamond slope we're on here......passions run high.
 
auburn vs. Houston in Birmingham Bowl. :LOL:

@dayooper I think we’re pretty close to saying the same thing and, yes, our biases get in the way sometime. I really try to be objective when it comes to Alabama although I am a fan. I don’t try as hard to be objective with the teams I hate, and, yes, Michigan is one of those. I can’t stand Harbaugh so I’m probably never going to give them the benefit of the doubt. At any rate, good luck against Georgia. Although we kicked their butts Saturday, I really don’t want to play them again. It’s hard to beat a good team twice in one season. See Alabama-LSU 2011.
 
Well somehow Penn State got selected to the Outback Bowl, so for the second time in four years I get to go to a bowl game in Florida on New Years' Day. :cool:
 
Still smarting from the the butt whooping Georgia took on Saturday.
In the end the committee got it right for top 4 teams based on what they had to choose from.

In the end the committee put the 4 team with the best subjective resume's in to the playoff.
Had Oklahoma State beat Baylor, Had Notre Dame not lost to Cincinnati, Had Ohio State not lost to Oregon early..................

Every team this year had flaws, Cincinnati's being their schedule, and I think the committee got it right.
 
I'm finding hard to wait until the Bahamas Bowl.
.
 
More from the contrarian ...

Who do you think is the best team in the SEC? Note, this is a loaded question.

If you say Georgia has the best team, or, who has the best team is still in doubt, you are admitting that Championship games don't necessarily determine who has the best team given the vagaries of sports. (That is actually my view. Championship competitions are mostly entertainment meant to enrich the participants, but not a way of truly assessing who has the best team.)

If you want to toe the line and say championship competitions are the only true way to determine who has the best team, then Alabama won the SEC championship and is the best team in that conference. Why then let a second place team into the national championship and exclude an unknown ( Notre Dame in this case) depriving them of a chance to prove that they are the best?
 
More from the contrarian ...

Who do you think is the best team in the SEC? Note, this is a loaded question.

If you say Georgia has the best team, or, who has the best team is still in doubt, you are admitting that Championship games don't necessarily determine who has the best team given the vagaries of sports. (That is actually my view. Championship competitions are mostly entertainment meant to enrich the participants, but not a way of truly assessing who has the best team.)

If you want to toe the line and say championship competitions are the only true way to determine who has the best team, then Alabama won the SEC championship and is the best team in that conference. Why then let a second place team into the national championship and exclude an unknown ( Notre Dame in this case) depriving them of a chance to prove that they are the best?
The answer to your question is almost always going to be subjective because being the better team doesn’t guarantee a victory. It only determines who is the better team on that specific day. For example, Texas A&M was a better team than Alabama on October 9th. I don’t think anyone would say they were a better team than Alabama this season. I’m still not sure Bama is a better team than Georgia. They were better prepared and better coached, imho, than Georgia on Saturday. I also think Bama has a better offense but Georgia has the better defense, judging the whole season, not just the last game.

A team can only play the games on its schedule and their playoff opponents. Whatever happens in those games is all we can judge and that judgment will always be subjuct to our biases.
 
Probably the best way is to only allow conference champions to be in the playoffs. Those teams have proven themselves over an entire season. Conference championship games would then serve as an elimination game.

This will never happen as Norte Dame has their own football and would never agree since they would actually have to compete with a full schedule of real opponents.

I just like watching college games at whatever level rather than the overpaid oafs in the NFL.

Cheers
 
More from the contrarian ...

Who do you think is the best team in the SEC? Note, this is a loaded question.

If you say Georgia has the best team, or, who has the best team is still in doubt, you are admitting that Championship games don't necessarily determine who has the best team given the vagaries of sports. (That is actually my view. Championship competitions are mostly entertainment meant to enrich the participants, but not a way of truly assessing who has the best team.)

If you want to toe the line and say championship competitions are the only true way to determine who has the best team, then Alabama won the SEC championship and is the best team in that conference. Why then let a second place team into the national championship and exclude an unknown ( Notre Dame in this case) depriving them of a chance to prove that they are the best?
Notre Dame has already been blown out when it counts. Plus who did they beat this year? Georgia is an unknown but has drawn the short stick going up against an almost undefeated UM.
 
How many bowl games are being played this year? Thirty (30).
 
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