Guess 3 located the A, E, and R. but using the remaining letters I came up with 24 reasonable words that could be the solution. So I decided to focus on eliminating as many words as I could in a single guess. And even then I'm going to need some luck with my next guess. If I miss entirely I could easily be at guess 5, with 12 possible remaining words. Which would leave low odds of solving.
I decided to focus on filling position 3, since that looked like the most efficient way to thin the list. Going through my list of words the letter distribution for the third position was:
- F - 1 word
- C - 3 words
- R - 4 words
- G - 4 words
- L - 3 words
- K - 3 words
- Z - 3 words
- P - 2 words
- N - 1 word.
LARGE tested for R, G, and L, encompassing 11 of the 24 possibilities. LARGE gave me the R in position 3, narrowing my list to RARER, PARER, CARER, and BARER. That's four words wth two remaining guesses. So my next guess needs to test for three options. RECAP worked for that, checking for a third R in position 1, and checking for P and C. If none of those worked, then by process of elimination, BARER would be the answer.
RECAP confirmed the word started with P, so PARER it was.