Ralph Sir Edward
TUG Member
Despite the lively discussion of gold and silver here, there is no description of what we are seeing. I will try to fill this void. Gold has become the first “stateless” currency.
Historically every currency has been issued by a State (or country, if you prefer). Even when the currency has been in the form of a measured commodity (e.g. gold, silver, copper, stones, cowry shells, ect.), there has been a State to define weight and quality, and to create acceptability (payment of taxes. . .)
What has happened recently, has been the international agreement to define Gold as a currency among all international central banks (Basel III). Furthermore, a sound and liquid currency equal to the former standard, the world’s prior reserve currency (the US dollar). This has made Gold a de facto currency, even though there is no State that either uses it, or recognizes it as a currency.
So it is, in effect, a foreign currency to everybody that one can swap one’s own currency into and out of. The fact that one cannot use it for direct purchases does not change this matter, no more so that swapping one’s home currency for another State’s currency. In both cases, one must pay a fee to swap from one to another; and only one can be directly used in a particular location. In addition, the smaller the amount swapped, the higher the fee.
When one looks at Gold in this light, it becomes clear that it is not an “investment”, merely a different currency, one that is now considered legally on par with any other currency used by central banks on an international scale, and is considered preferable to any other unbacked (fiat) currencies currently in use. Eventually the currencies will reach an equilibrium point, and the ratios will stabilize (at least to a certain point, anyways).
Will States convert back to Gold over time? Unknown. No State wants to give up inflation as a currency option, but eventually they may be dragged (kicking and screaming) into this new currency standard. (Or maybe they will outlaw the international banking regulations that made this possible.)
Not even The Shadow knows this one. . .
A final note: money (currency) as an idea has always had two heads, as a medium of exchange (I have money, you have goods; let’s swap), and a store of value ( I can buy the same goods for the same amount of money in the future as I can buy now). Fiat currencies has always been only a medium of exchange with no guarantee of store of value; this new gold “bank currency” is a store of value (gold is gold, it doesn’t change or disintegrate) with no guarantee of being a medium of exchange.
Pick one. . .
Historically every currency has been issued by a State (or country, if you prefer). Even when the currency has been in the form of a measured commodity (e.g. gold, silver, copper, stones, cowry shells, ect.), there has been a State to define weight and quality, and to create acceptability (payment of taxes. . .)
What has happened recently, has been the international agreement to define Gold as a currency among all international central banks (Basel III). Furthermore, a sound and liquid currency equal to the former standard, the world’s prior reserve currency (the US dollar). This has made Gold a de facto currency, even though there is no State that either uses it, or recognizes it as a currency.
So it is, in effect, a foreign currency to everybody that one can swap one’s own currency into and out of. The fact that one cannot use it for direct purchases does not change this matter, no more so that swapping one’s home currency for another State’s currency. In both cases, one must pay a fee to swap from one to another; and only one can be directly used in a particular location. In addition, the smaller the amount swapped, the higher the fee.
When one looks at Gold in this light, it becomes clear that it is not an “investment”, merely a different currency, one that is now considered legally on par with any other currency used by central banks on an international scale, and is considered preferable to any other unbacked (fiat) currencies currently in use. Eventually the currencies will reach an equilibrium point, and the ratios will stabilize (at least to a certain point, anyways).
Will States convert back to Gold over time? Unknown. No State wants to give up inflation as a currency option, but eventually they may be dragged (kicking and screaming) into this new currency standard. (Or maybe they will outlaw the international banking regulations that made this possible.)
Not even The Shadow knows this one. . .
A final note: money (currency) as an idea has always had two heads, as a medium of exchange (I have money, you have goods; let’s swap), and a store of value ( I can buy the same goods for the same amount of money in the future as I can buy now). Fiat currencies has always been only a medium of exchange with no guarantee of store of value; this new gold “bank currency” is a store of value (gold is gold, it doesn’t change or disintegrate) with no guarantee of being a medium of exchange.
Pick one. . .