Brett
Guest
Helpful hint. Google is your friend. All you have to do is type in the title and the source comes up.Three, and I will keep showing it to answer Brett's undocumented posts which have no links and no substance, just big headlines, sometimes with a picture attached.
You are unwilling to examine LCOE calculationsThe same old scam. LCOE = Levelized Cost of Energy which excludes the much higher system costs of intermittent sources like wind and solar. No wonder you resent my posting articles that expose that fraud. Lazard is a bank that services the climate industrial complex and so will always promote it in their external communications. We have no idea what their internal considerations actually are.
Wind and solar bring much higher system costs which is what makes them so expensive to consumers.
Since you won't accept the facts about the cost of electricity from wind and solar
Here is a chart of the input "Natural Gas" for electrical generation
Natural Gas Prices (1997-2026)
Interactive chart illustrating the history of Henry Hub natural gas prices. The prices shown are in U.S. dollars.www.macrotrends.net
My favorite one is how natural gas has spiked this year
That's why most commercial power companies are deploying CESS's in a huge manner all over the world. CESS's do two really important things. One, they smooth out power delivery, which increases efficiency of power delivery regardless of the source of generation. Two, CESS's store power to eliminate intermittent power generation, and in the process, also eliminate the need for peak power plants, which in and of itself is a huge win for power companies and for consumers - as doing so eliminate the highest cost power plants on the grid - which are typically peakers.As I pointed out, conventional plants have always been set up for adjustments to output, but it is the "feast or famine" nature of wind and solar where they can crap out totally in some cases, often at times of high grid demand, and in others like spring and fall overproduce when demand is low. Wind output can vary a lot not only week by week but day by day and hour by hour. as charts I have posted show. I have presented quite a few links or videos to knowledgable people who explain why this makes an electric system inefficient and costly.
Helpful hint. Google is your friend. All you have to do is type in the title and the source comes up.
The article is found in The Scientific American. Obviously another "very leftwing ideological organization."
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Wind and Solar Energy Are Cheaper Than Electricity from Fossil-Fuel Plants
Even without subsidies, renewable energy is staying competitive with power from gas and coalwww.scientificamerican.com
That's why most commercial power companies are deploying CESS's in a huge manner all over the world. CESS's do two really important things. One, they smooth out power delivery, which increases efficiency of power delivery regardless of the source of generation. Two, CESS's store power to eliminate intermittent power generation, and in the process, also eliminate the need for peak power plants, which in and of itself is a huge win for power companies and for consumers - as doing so eliminate the highest cost power plants on the grid - which are typically peakers.
I haven't read through this entire thread, and am not going to, but the key advantages of renewable power technologies is to democratize power generation and reduce the need for centralized power generation and having to constantly upgrade the power grid. The grid still needs to be maintained and upgraded however, to support bi-directional power flow - since residential power generation is becoming much more popular as energy prices continue to rise, which makes residential power generation more attractive since solar panels continue to decrease in price and increase in efficiency over time. This is also why residential battery storage is becoming more and more popular, including the use of BEV batteries for home power backup. We just installed a 21.5kKW solar array on all of our south facing roofing as doing so actually saves us money vs continuing to pay escalating commercial power company rates. Our average Kwh rate has increased from 11-12 cents/kwh to 17-19 cents/kwh over the past three years alone. Our state offers subsidized solar loans - 2.99% over 10 years for up to $30k of the cost of the array (around $285/month). For us, it made financial sense - since our state also offers 1:1 net metering - for us to install 47 bi-facial solar panels - and replace near 100% of our usage annually, given our average power bill is $425-450/month. Gross cost of the array was $51k minus a $6k rebate (given in advance directly to the solar company), minus $15k in federal tax credits, leaves us at $30k which the loan fully covers. So, essentially, we've cut our monthly energy expense significantly from $450 down to $285 per month. We did not elect to add batteries as the costs didn't make sense at this time - but that will likely come within the next few years especially given we own a Telsa BEV and doing so will allow us to use the car for home battery backup when needed. We should only have to add two Tesla PW3s with extensions to cover 100% of our daily usage on average when the array isn't generating power - and at that point we will be completely grid independent.
I'm not familiar with wind energy in general. I know it makes sense in many situations because the energy companies widely use both wind and solar to power well pumps and other infrastructure because it's cheaper to install wind/solar than it is to extend the grid power out to remote areas where the wells are drilled. This is good business practice, or simply put, the global energy companies wouldn't do it LOL.
Large scale solar arrays globally are now, on average per KwH, cheaper than any fossil fuel for commercial power generation purposes. Here in the US that's not quite true yet though, at least according to EIA data, which is what I typically look at for good data: https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=63485
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NG is still almost half the price of solar and wind from an overall construction price standpoint. Long term the cost of solar wins out though. This is likely why 86% of net new power generation to the US grid consisted of wind, solar, and NG in 2022. Using an "all of the above" strategy is likely the best route to producing enough energy to meet demand. Couple that with the democratization of energy production, via residential solar primarily, and we've got a winning solution. It's hard to argue with solar when we realize that every day, the sun rains down 9000% of global energy consumption, daily, onto the planet. Harvesting even a small proportion of that "free" energy, is in all of our best interests - no one has a good argument against this purely based upon this singular statistic alone IMHO. Anyone who says otherwise, well, logic doesn't seem to be on their side when we look at the macro numbers at least.
This is also why more and more companies, particularly the MAG7, are now focusing on space-based datacenters as opposed to earth-based datacenters - because solar generation is actually even more productive in space given there's no atmospheric filtering to deal with. I expect companies like Google, Amazon, SpaceX, xAI and Tesla to start building datacenters in space that are 100% powered by solar and batteries. This also conveniently eliminates building out massive datacenters here on earth, which appears to be increasingly controversial - one of those NIMBY type issues - and often accused - somewhat accurately I might add - of being the primary driver of increasing energy prices from commercial power companies.
So, we'll likely see the embrace of nuclear (especially the newer/smaller/better reactors), solar, wind, geothermal and NG, among others, along with the continued democratization of energy production. Since solar is really the only power generation technology that works well for democratization of energy production - apart from specific use cases for wind energy, IMHO it's a no brainer to continue to encourage this technology over time. Sure, there are recycling issues with the panels and wind turbines and such over the long term, but that's something the industry can work on addressing, and is in point of fact already well down the path of remediating (same with CESS arrays).
Levelized cost of energy is the opposite of a real world figure. It is a contrived artificial figure concocted by the climate industrial complex. You are the one who has a knee jerk level of support for the climate industrial complex which is harming our environment and jacking up electric rates. Nowhere in the real world have you shown wind and solar reducing power costs when it gets to your meter box, and that is the place it really counts, not in some contrived "levelized cost of power" that ignores most of the system costs created by the intermittency of wind and solar.You are locked into your analysis
Real world figures mean nothing to you
Everyone is entitled to believe what they like
I am going to step aside from continuing to respond to your attitudes about the nature of solar and wind electrical generation since we are 180 degrees apart
CESS = Commercial Energy Storage System - basically commercial scale battery storage. It's at least somewhat telling that you haven't heard about CESS considering the amount of investment in CESS over the past five plus years from all major commercial power companies.Never heard of a CESS. I did a search on it, and the results were like this one:
Cess - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
I know Wikipedia is not the most reliable source in the world but others were similar.
Incorrect. Early CESS used LI NMC/NCM/NCA batteries - basically 100% of CESS now use LI LFP batteries - which have almost zero chance of catching fire in comparison. They function so well that a majority of power companies, including the majority of US based power companies - are deploying massive CESS arrays for the reasons I outlined. Power companies aren't going to spend money on CESS without doing a great amount of due diligence and will only do so if it's in their best interests from a power generation, storage, and cost perspective. Power companies don't deploy CESS for long term power consumption - as I said - they deploy CESS to moderate intermittent power delivery on the grid - and to stabilize the grid - which directly results in having to produce less power in the process. The proof is in the pudding.Reading the content of your post, it seems you are talking about the big lithium batteries that are so prone to catch fire and have never really functioned that well. I have put up several posts on how they are not effective for grid level power except for short periods, and at high costs. You can scroll back and find the links.
Using some hobby materials, I could probably fart and ignite it with a lighter and generate more electricity than your non heat capture panels.
Bifacial panels, which is what I just installed on my own home, coupled with a special underlayment, add roughly 10-30% additional power generation for my array, I'll take it.Much like your post, lol.
Currently, the thermo electrical power generated at night with these panels are close to 25% of the power generated during the day. As this tech gets dialed in these types of solar panels will dominate the current panels because they produce more electricity which creates a higher ROI.
Bill
Levelized cost of energy is the opposite of a real world figure. It is a contrived artificial figure concocted by the climate industrial complex.
They sound interestingMuch like your post, lol.
Currently, the thermo electrical power generated at night with these panels are close to 25% of the power generated during the day. As this tech gets dialed in these types of solar panels will dominate the current panels because they produce more electricity which creates a higher ROI.
Bill
Bifacial panels, which is what I just installed on my own home, coupled with a special underlayment, add roughly 10-30% additional power generation for my array, I'll take it.
The good news is that people are voting with their feet (actually wallets) and switching to renewable fuels. Nothing Carolinian says and does will change that. People are voting against him.
Given the limited roof space on my south facing roofing, I may not have gone down this road were it not for the bifacial panels option. My south facing roofing is only estimated to produce roughly 80% of my total power consumption using normal panels. The bifacial panels basically will likely get me to 100%, especially considering we're also making some energy efficiency improvements to our home soon to boost up energy loss. Mostly just upgrading our attic insulation, removing our old whole house attic fan, installed radiant barriers in the attic, sealing doors and windows better, and doing some basement improvements (sealing the rafters basically). That alone should give us about a 10% energy consumption improvement. Between all of these improvements, we should get to parity on energy production vs consumption. As long as our utility offers 1:1 net metering, we may not add battery storage, but I'm predicting that 1:1 net metering won't last forever, at which point we'd likely install Tesla Powerwall 3's (or perhaps 4's by then), enough to basically meet demand during non-sunlight hours - at which point we'd be essentially grid independent.It's amazing at the new tech being discovered and developed. I was listening to podcast conversation about a new process to capture an old idea of spinning electrons. I think they call it spintronics. Supposedly, the intent is to make computer chips faster but it can also be used to increase energy output in solar panels.
Bill
They sound interesting
Do you have a link to these panels
STEG PV-TEG tech article from Science Direct: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0038092X23001366They sound interesting
Do you have a link to these panels
Yes, people are voting with their wallets but it doesn't seem to be for renewable energy. I say this only because incentives for green power are being eliminated, incentives for pipelines and drilling are back, emission standards for vehicles have been reduced and incentives to purchase large vehicles are back.
Bill
My final post, but first...
Studies have been done (including by a friend of mine) about the number of birds killed by windmills. Often the estimates come in around 140,000 to 700,000 although there have been some estimates as high as 1.2 million. Even at that higher number, everyone agrees that the number of bird deaths from windmills is insignificant compared to the number of birds killed by cats, tall buildings, cars, and climate change caused by the use of fossil fuel. (I am sure Carolinian loves that last problem.)
I am giving up on this thread. Carolinian can just stew in his own misery., The good news is that people are voting with their feet (actually wallets) and switching to renewable fuels. Nothing Carolinian says and does will change that. People are voting against him.
Adios...