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[2014] What's the next stock market bubble?

The Next Bubble is ALREADY HERE! It is GINORMOUS cut & paste headlines that don't really mean anything. It has been here for this whole year
 
easyrider said:
I keep reading that things are about to crash but contrary opinions make me think that it will be a rally up because of the monetary ideas in play.
Click to expand...
Take a look at the earnings. Earnings are still doing very well, and that is a big portion of what is driving the market now. I would be leery betting against a market when earnings are this good.

Kurt
 
PigsDad said:
Take a look at the earnings. Earnings are still doing very well, and that is a big portion of what is driving the market now. I would be leery betting against a market when earnings are this good.

Kurt
Click to expand...

Interesting is the idea of the $2,000 stimulus check to all taxpayers, given because the tariffs seem to be working. This could rocket the economy in the USA. I think there is around 160 million taxpayers so maybe around $320 billion of stimulus.

Bill
 
still protecting against a bubble playing it both ways but with a change in my strategy. As the market hits new highs, been taking the profits from my ETF's and stocks and parking it into a treasury floating rate ETF. I assume my next move will drive some batty. I then take that interest and dollar cost average into 2X bull and 1x bear mutual funds on a daily basis. At Schwab the minimum to buy them is $1.00
 
easyrider said:
Interesting is the idea of the $2,000 stimulus check to all taxpayers, given because the tariffs seem to be working. This could rocket the economy in the USA. I think there is around 160 million taxpayers so maybe around $320 billion of stimulus.

Bill
Click to expand...


Uh oh. "easyrider" Bill now thinks the economy will "rocket". Stocks soar
Yep, it might be time to start shorting stocks and get "inverse equity ETF's". And hire even more guards to protect my basement gold hoard
 
easyrider said:
Interesting is the idea of the $2,000 stimulus check to all taxpayers, given because the tariffs seem to be working. This could rocket the economy in the USA. I think there is around 160 million taxpayers so maybe around $320 billion of stimulus.

Bill
Click to expand...

Funny…taxpayers could use the $2000 stimulus to pay the increased prices due to the tariffs! 🙄
 
PigsDad said:
Take a look at the earnings.
Click to expand...
since ChatGPT launched in Nov2022, AI related stocks have accounted for 75% of S&P 500 returns, 80% of earnings growth and 90% of capital spending growth .
AI-related DCs are eclipsing office construction spending and pushing electricity prices MUCH higher for everybody in some parts of the USA.
But people still use the DJIA to measure the "stock mkt". Yeah. That.
 
WaikikiFirst said:
since ChatGPT launched in Nov2022, AI related stocks have accounted for 75% of S&P 500 returns, 80% of earnings growth and 90% of capital spending growth .
AI-related DCs are eclipsing office construction spending and pushing electricity prices MUCH higher for everybody in some parts of the USA.
But people still use the DJIA to measure the "stock mkt". Yeah. That.
Click to expand...
I don't know of any serious investors that use the DJIA as a market barometer. Pretty much SPY, QQQ and IWM.

Sent from my Pixel 9a using Tapatalk
 
wilma said:
Funny…taxpayers could use the $2000 stimulus to pay the increased prices due to the tariffs! 🙄
Click to expand...
I haven't seen any increases on anything I buy.
 
Brett said:
Uh oh. "easyrider" Bill now thinks the economy will "rocket". Stocks soar
Yep, it might be time to start shorting stocks and get "inverse equity ETF's". And hire even more guards to protect my basement gold hoard
Click to expand...
Texas has a state agency bullion depository which is also open to for public storage.

Homepage - Texas Bullion Depository

The Texas Bullion Depository, Texas' first ever state-administered precious metals bullion depository for storage of your precious metals.
www.texasbulliondepository.gov www.texasbulliondepository.gov
 
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wilma said:
Funny…taxpayers could use the $2000 stimulus to pay the increased prices due to the tariffs! 🙄
Click to expand...

I would use it on maintenance fee's, lol.

Bill
 
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Ralph Sir Edward said:
Is it "shoeshine boy" time?
Click to expand...
not in my opinion. The point of the shoeshine story was that you have uninformed people with no money on the line feeling like they can make recommendations to informed people with money on the line.

The WSJ article merely points out how the markets have become more accessible to lower income individuals. Sure, there will be some with outsized returns or dumb luck that flaunt on social media, but getting people into the habit of investing their money on a regular basis is a good thing in my opinion.
 
Okay, Brett, lets look at a 5 year timeline comparison:

5 Year performance

GOLD UP 165.56%
SILVER UP 181.47%

S&P UP 106.89%
DOW UP 60.87%

With the ballooning debt levels of most countries, central banks are going to keep buying gold and dumping fiat currencies. Until national governments get serious about their debt, that trend is just going to keep continuing. Gold and silver are the only currencies without counterparty risks. Now many governments, including ours are stockpiling silver as a critical strategic mineral due to its industrial and military uses. Only one central bank currently holds silver as monetary reserves, but that could change too as gold gets more expensive.

And the first three of the "defensive assets" contained on that chart that you repetitively post (HINT: once is enough ) are all denominated in declining fiat currencies, and therefore not very defensive at all. A friend of mine who works in currency trading for a hedge fund describes the US dollar as "the least sick horse in line at the glue factory" but sick nonetheless. The only currencies left that have good fundamentals are those of smaller countries with low debt like the Swiss franc and Norwegian kronor. Another big flaw is that it omits direct ownership of rental real estate, which is both an income producer, and as a hard asset, also a defensive asset. The only real estate related items on the chart are REITs, a financial product.
 
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Carolinian said:
Okay, Brett, lets look at a 5 year timeline comparison:

5 Year performance

GOLD UP 165.56%
SILVER UP 181.47%

S&P UP 106.89%
DOW UP 60.87%

With the ballooning debt levels of most countries, central banks are going to keep buying gold and dumping fiat currencies. Until national governments get serious about their debt, that trend is just going to keep continuing. Gold and silver are the only currencies without counterparty risks. Now many governments, including ours are stockpiling silver as a critical strategic mineral due to its industrial and military uses. Only one central bank currently holds silver as monetary reserves, but that could change too as gold gets more expensive.

And the first three of the "defensive assets" contained on that chart that you repetitively post (HINT: once is enough ) are all denominated in declining fiat currencies, and therefore not very defensive at all. A friend of mine who works in currency trading for a hedge fund describes the US dollar as "the least sick horse in line at the glue factory" but sick nonetheless. The only currencies left that have good fundamentals are those of smaller countries with low debt like the Swiss franc and Norwegian kronor. Another big flaw is that it omits direct ownership of rental real estate, which is both an income producer, and as a hard asset, also a defensive asset. The only real estate related items on the chart are REITs, a financial product.
Click to expand...


LOL

For all the people on this forum that accumulated wealth and retired by hoarding gold or silver - speak up ! (besides you ;)

Meanwhile ........ "gold glitters but earnings compound"

divers.jpg


diverse_fin.jpg
 
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