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Woo Hoo 49ers!

csxjohn said:
My observations of the last four games which I went 3 for 4 so my 4 team parlay ticket was a loser. The Seahawks did not look like world beaters to me and I don't see them beating up on the Niners. If the Broncos don't keep their foot on the gas the entire game they will be watching the super bowl.

The Niners and the Pats looked like the two best teams over the weekend and I think it's going to take a super effort to beat either one of them.
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I agree. The Niners are peaking now and it will be a very tough game. The Seahawks defense is playing lights out, but the offense has really been sub par as of late. I don't know if they're just being ultra conservative because the defense has been playing so spectacularly or if they're just playing poorly, but I would like to see their offense pick it up. Whatever the over/under is on that game, I would take the under.
 
Clemson Fan said:
.... Whatever the over/under is on that game, I would take the under.
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The over/under for this game is 40 pts paying .91:1 which ever way you go.

The other game is 55.5 pts with the same pay offs.
 
The Broncos are a 6 point favorite. Tom Brady has been more then a 5 point playoff underdog 3 times in his career. He's 3-0 in those games...
 
Clemson Fan said:
The Broncos are a 6 point favorite. Tom Brady has been more then a 5 point playoff underdog 3 times in his career. He's 3-0 in those games...
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My betting site has the Broncos favored by 5 and the Seahawks by 3.5

It looks like a good week to take the underdog and the points, $2 will win $4.86.

I'm not suggesting anyone make any bets, not we did when we bought our timeshares.:hysterical:

It looked to me like the Broncos were holding back, maybe not wanting to show the Pats too much but they almost let that game slip away.
 
Clemson Fan said:
<snip> Tom Brady has been more than a 5 point playoff underdog 3 times in his career. He's 3-0 in those games...
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...and 18-7 overall in post season play; a .720 winning playoff percentage. Not too shabby.

Peyton??? Well, let's just say I like the Pats' odds against the Broncos, the oddsmakers aside. But for one particular regular season game's flubbed finish and loss (via a dropped, final play, winning TD perfect pass), this AFC championship game would be in New England, since the two teams would then have had identical records, with the Pats having beaten Denver already this year during regular season play. But that's of course just 20/20 hindsight and water under the bridge now. "Coulda, woulda, shoulda" doesn't cut it...

Regardless of the outcome, the Sunday AFC championship game will likely be a great game to watch. I must admit that I still just can't get used to seeing Wes Welker in that orange and black uniform and horse head helmet, catching Peyton Manning passes. That strange development will always be a real "head shaker" and just a complete non sequitur for all Pats fans, most of whom likely believed that Brady and Welker would be "joined at the hip" for the rest of their respective careers...
 
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theo said:
But for one particular regular season game's flubbed finish and loss (via a dropped, final play, winning TD perfect pass), this AFC championship game would be in New England, since the two teams would then have had identical records, with the Pats having beaten Denver already this year during regular season play. But that's of course just 20/20 hindsight and water under the bridge now. "Coulda, woulda, shoulda" doesn't cut it...
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But for one freak bounce of a punt that gave the Patriots field position for a winning fieldgoal, the Broncos-Patroits game was headed for a Bronco win or a tie, which would have left the Patriots even further back in the standings than they finished. But as you said, "Coulda, woulda, shoulda" doesn't cut it...

Two of the best quarterbacks ever are playing in Denver next Sunday. I'm sure there will be many predictions of a high scoring shootout which means it will probably be a low scoring defensive battle. Either way it should be a good game and the winner will be the favorite to win the Superbowl.
 
csxjohn said:
My betting site has the Broncos favored by 5 and the Seahawks by 3.5

It looks like a good week to take the underdog and the points, $2 will win $4.86.
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I hope nobody was relying on TUG to make their bets!
 
Clemson Fan said:
Yup, because so much money is pouring in for the Broncos. Vegas actually made the Seahawks the initial favorite, but so much money came pouring in for Denver that the line flipped.

That's good for the Seahawks IMO.
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It's a close one. I don't think being a one or two point underdog is going to motivate either team very much.
 
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ace2000 said:
I hope nobody was relying on TUG to make their bets!
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:hysterical:

I ended up taking a two team parlay for $2 that would have paid just over $5. I took Denver and SF with no points either way.

If you've been following the multiple posts about this years play offs you will have seen that those of us who make our picks public aren't doing so well, right from the first prediction that Manning will be watching the SB from home.

It's been a lot of fun talking about it though.
 
ace2000 said:
I don't think being a one or two point underdog is going to motivate either team very much.
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Well if the players on a team have to rely on a betting line to get motivated, they should be in another line of work. Maybe some players do let betting lines influence them but you would think that the privilege and excitement of hoisting the trophy would be all the motivation they need.
 
DavidnRobin said:
I watched all the games (thanks to NFL ticket) - 3 of those away wins were gifts by the opponents. While Niners had to go without Crabtree for most of the season.

btw - I think the Niners will have trouble in Seattle (like most teams) because of the 12th man - but on a neutral field - no way. This is why the Cawks won't win the SB if they can get there. Not a complete enough team (yet). Mark it... and would I be willing to put money on it. I accept PayPal... Is betting allowed on TUG?
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Yup, you nailed it! Not a complete team! Russell Wilson and those receivers and special teams are just plain awful! :rolleyes:

I hope for your sake you didn't put your money where your mouth was! :wave:
 
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