Points system seems to be flawed
With the introduction to TPU's (points light) in weeks I have been struggling to see the value in keeping a points account with RCI. I have owned in both systems (and Interval) and finding points exchanges that seem "fair" is a challenge.
Your post is a prime example. Points values don't change over time - the week that expires next week costs the same as the one 10 months out, so no last minute advantage (unless it's a weeks resort trading in points). As a result you see what you describe, a resort with outrageously high points values that trades in weeks at something more closely reflecting its actual value (low TPU's due to low demand and limited time before it expires).
Second problem is points inflation - since the assignment of points is arbitrary and often the result of a negotiated deal with the resort by RCI (I'm assuming to make it seem better while the developer is selling) it does not necessarily reflect true market value. Your example is proof of that, as is a number of Orlando resorts and Mexico resorts. These resorts cannot possibly be worth the points value assigned, this is evident if they trade in weeks or are available for rent at far lower equivalent rates. The assigned point value is clearly not a reflection of how that unit/week would be valued in the real world.
This particular resort is nice enough (I've exchanged there, it's nice) but it is far from the strip and has little in the way of amenities, yet it is valued comparable to properties that are far nicer and have better locations. In a true maket this would not persist and the value would reflect what the market says it's worth. RCI, as the final arbitrar of value, has their thumbs on the scale and has a vested interest in charging more points. The more points you use the lower their liability to you or greater the inventory available for alternative uses (such as rental).
Vegas in summer would reflect the true exchange demand if the points were not arbitrary. People definately go to Vegas in the summer, but not as many as in cooler months and many will not want to spend a week there in the summer. It's like my unit in Palm Springs, demand in the summer is there, but not as much as in the winter. The points value should reflect that obvious demand disparity if it was truly set at market.
I keep hearing the nostrum that it all depends on your need for flexibility, but if the cost is overvalued resorts (costing you too many points relative to value) then I struggle to see how it is worth it. If I wanted flexibility I'd just rent - no ownership, maintenance, risk - and it's easy enough to do these days. If there is no intrinsic value in trading, which should be a reflection of the consumer taking on the risk and cost of ownership of the unit being traded, then people should save the cost of purchasing a timeshare.
Owning a timeshare involves parting with cash to buy the thing, paying the asessments, risking not finding a decent exchange, etc., so the exchange value should be intrinsically lower than renting. When it's not (and my contention is that RCI has skewed this such that it currently is not lower) the value of my investment is being destroyed.
I am either going to withdraw my unit from points as soon as I can or sell or give it away if I continue to see overpriced resorts and limited availability (I haven't managed to do anything with points for three years - and I've been looking) compared to Weeks and Interval where I've had a number of great trades. Others may be having a better result, but so far I am getting better availability and what I perceive to be a more fair result (particularly since TPU's) outside of points.
Lars