I tend to agree with you overall as I think timeshares, and particularly how they're deeded rather than being short term "right to use", can become peoples' worst nightmares with no escape in sight. So many horror stories and, yet, there has been no legislation to end timesharing as we know it.
I think this is because there are a lot of people (if you believe ARDA something like 85% of owners) who like timeshareing. And legally as far as I can tell it's the same idea as a family splitting ownership up to kids of a family property, but keeping the property whole, or like shareholders of a company. Maybe we should also legislate the stock market away too IDK. The US powers that be don't really see a huge problem and there's strong pressure against "nanny states" protecting you from yourself.
I don't know of any other industry which is responsible for the ruination of so many lives that can still continue to do so
Of course, the more experienced people on TUG, like people skilled in home foreclosure law, can stand on the graves of others and be quite content with the current state of the timeshare industry.
So, assuming you can do exactly that, stand on the graves of others by buying resale cheaply from a person perhaps destroyed by his/her wholly unsatisfactory timeshare ownership, then you might benefit. But only if you buy the right resale timeshare. And that benefit may involve full kitchens and more spacious accommodations at a lesser cost than hotel rooms.
Like so many things in life, the devil is in the details. But just like master couponers can get groceries "for free", we can get lodging for very cheap.
Lesser cost for now, perhaps, but if maintenance fees keep rising, and you throw in a special assessment or two, the costs might turn out to be pretty much the same.
Predicting is hard, especially the future, but hotels and airB&Bs have gone up in price too. I'm seeing some signs they've corrected downwards since the spike I saw at the end of the pandemic, but even at 2012 prices for hotels as soon as you want 2 rooms they make many 2BR TSs competitive or cheaper. Current hotel rates are much worse in many comparisons. You do have to make sure you're comparing like for like to the extent you can, but if TS is an option, I just in March in Southern CA I found I paid for 6 nights in hotels what I got 14 nights for in TS. With kitchens and hot tubs and often other stuff too. This is significant (for me anyway).
As for the exchange services, I also agree that if you're a normal person checking the exchange services at random times during "normal" hours of the day, you'll likely find nothing of great interest. But if you're getting up day after day at 4 AM, you might find something good that was just posted for the day.
I think this greatly depends on the exchange company, what you consider "great interest" and excluding using OGS, also it excludes the current great deals on cash stays in RCI for instance.
In other words, if you're willing to relentlessly spend all manner of uncompensated hours searching, maybe your uncompensated multiday, multiweek search will pay off.
This isn't actually necessary for many, especially if you're not hustling for that "once in a lifetime exceptional exchange" but just "like for like" or even "a bit cheaper than MF in what you exchanged into".
On the other hand, you can rent airbnb, VRBO, expedia at a moment's notice and go pretty quickly thereafter.
This is true, though I can also sometimes find a Last Call and go a week after I book it. And I've found for some events the Hotels book up surprisingly far in advance.
And no lingering obligations thereafter.
True, though I keep hearing AirB&B horror stories in the news too. Probably overblown like TS ruining peoples life, but something to also consider. I've also heard about extra cleaning fees after the fact from AirB&B, but I'm not sure if they've changed their policies to combat that.
And go to places where there might not be much in the way of timeshare coverage which don't even "exist" in the eyes of a devoted timeshare enthusiast.
Oh, not, they exist, and I (and most on TUG) use them when necessary - I think a common refrain is to expect to cover a percentage of travel with TS, maybe 50%? You can go higher if you make TS the primary driver of a trip, or less if you want the traditional "fixed week" sort of experience. But I rarely see anyone say locations without TS aren't a valid location to go to.
Or, yet again, you can stand on the grave of the timeshare owner who has to rent out because he can't travel to his week, after all.
Or use the TS owner who made a business out of renting and rent out that week.
The thing I always find is if I try and book like for like in locations where TS is an option, I'm almost always paying a multiple for the non-TS option, especially if I need multiple rooms, want a Kitchen (or add eating out costs for a larger percentage of meals to the non TS option), want a resort style property with hot tubs, saunas, steam rooms, ping pong, etc etc. The hotel versions of that aren't at the Hampton Inn prices I usually use to compare.
would be my argument and a reasonable IMHO comparison.