What are the projected COVID-19 health resource impacts in your area (helpful link)

[T_R_Oglodyte]

Here is a nice link that shows projected COVID-19 impacts on available hospital resources - number of beds needed and available, ICU beds needed and available, ventilators needed, deaths per day, total, as graphs over the next several months. There's a dropdown link at the top that allows you to look at the entire country or to select a specific state. It also has shading to show the upper and lower bands of the estimates. This is from the University of Washington Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), which is one of the leading organizations involved with modeling transmission of infectious diseases.

IHME | COVID-19 Projections

Explore forecasts of COVID-19 cases, deaths, and hospital resource use.

covid19.healthdata.org

 

[T_R_Oglodyte]

Looking at Washington, it appears that we may have flattened the curve sufficiently that we will have enough hospital beds, but we have about 25%-30% shortfall in ICU beds, with peak hospitalization rates expected to occur in a couple of weeks. Interesting side note - peak infection rate in WA is expected next week - I'm guessing that the difference between those two stats is related to the delay between a case onset and when hospitalization is needed.

New York is pretty grim. 35,300 estimated beds needed vs. 13,000 available. 6949 ICU beds needed and 718 available. Massive peak in April, but COVID-19 is expected to have nearly run its course by the end of April. It strikes me as being much the same as herd immunity option.

 

[pedro47]

Looking at Washington, it appears that we may have flattened the curve sufficiently that we will have enough hospital beds, but we have about 25%-30% shortfall in ICU beds, with peak hospitalization rates expected to occur in a couple of weeks. Interesting side note - peak infection rate in WA is expected next week - I'm guessing that the difference between those two stats is related to the delay between a case onset and when hospitalization is needed.

New York is pretty grim. 35,300 estimated beds needed vs. 13,000 available. 6949 ICU beds needed and 718 available. Massive peak in April, but COVID-19 is expected to have nearly run its course by the end of April. It strikes me as being much the same as herd immunity option.

New York City is the place that needs the most help because of their density population of five (5) boroughs.