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Life Insurance

bogey21

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How badly will the anticipated Coronavirus deaths impact the balance sheets/solvency of Life Insurance Companies? Will they continue to write new policies? If yes, what will happen to premiums on new policies?

George
 
Well in the short term, you can certainly expect claims to jump...
 
If the majority of people dying are of older age, more than likely most of them no longer have life insurance.
 
Most major insurers today that existed prior to The Great War managed to survive two world wars and the Spanish flu pandemic of 1918, plus many other less deadly historic causes. The cumulative death rate of those infected by Covid-19 is in the range of 1 to 4% and much lower as a percentage of the total population. That could normally be absorbed by most long-term actuarial assumptions.

Similar concerns were expressed during the height of the AIDS crisis in the 1980s, but the impact proved to be negligible. Most insurance pricing is not short-term in nature. It would never work that way. I cannot speak to US life insurers with any great expertise, but in Canada the underlying policy reserves are primarily fixed-income in nature. Typically 60 to 80% of most companies' policy reserves are invested in long-term bonds held to maturity. They are rarely traded on the short-term bond market, so limit the volatility of the reserves.
 
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Probably questions better asked of a group of actuarials than timeshare users. But speculating, if deaths are more frequent/younger, balance sheets would be negatively impacted- but speaking to how the underlying investments have preecipitously lost value recently, their bottom lines have taken a double whammy. So I would think permiums would increase on newly issued policies. That said, insurance underwriters know that everyone dies. That's already known fact. If CV alters the overall avrage lifespan, adjustments can be made- but if the disease really does have a measureable impact primarily on the elderly, it probably won't make a heckuva lot of difference.

Right now, we are looking at this from too close a time frame to seee the overall effect. In time- even the most pessimistic predictors say that enough people will have become infected and 'gotten over' the infection and developed some immunity that life can return to a 'new normal' after a couple of years, that the deaths of some tens- or hundreds of thousands will just be 'blip' on the radar screens of humanity's timeline. Not unlike the deaths that occurred during the 1918 flu epidemic. It had profound effect at the time, but the survivors moved on and the losses mostly faded into the mists of time, and were largely forgotten. To the point that protection and preparation for such events was deemed unnecessary- which brings us to the pickle we are in now.

Sorry for the long winded response. I feel better now, having said it. Take it with however many grains of salt you wish.

Jim
 
George, it depends on whether or not you are dealing with a pure life insurance company. The vast majority also sell annuities. What they lose on life insurance, they tend to make back by profit on annuities. (The company keeps much of the remaining money.

Win in one hand, lose in the other. . .
 
I don't even know if my policies cover pandemics. My travel insurance didn't. :shrug:
No idea if this will increase premiums. Mine are locked.
 
I don't even know if my policies cover pandemics. My travel insurance didn't. :shrug:
No idea if this will increase premiums. Mine are locked.

Most personal (as opposed to group or association) level fixed-premium, permanent life insurance policies, whether term or cash-value, do not have that type of exclusion. In that respect, my understanding is that most American life insurance policies are the same as Canadian life insurance policies.

You should be able to easily confirm that by looking at the "exclusions" or "conditions" section of the policy or the section where they provide a definition of when they will pay a death benefit. If there is no exclusion specifically mentioned, then there isn't one. If not sure, your agent or your life company's customer service people will be able to tell you.
 
George, it depends on whether or not you are dealing with a pure life insurance company. The vast majority also sell annuities. What they lose on life insurance, they tend to make back by profit on annuities. (The company keeps much of the remaining money.

Win in one hand, lose in the other. . .

Also, the demographics of those who have been dying suggest they are more likely to have large annuities than large life insurance policies.
 
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