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II / Current Economic Conditions

apples23

TUG Member
Joined
Nov 15, 2008
Messages
76
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0
Location
Toronto, Canada
Hey There,

I just wanted to get everyone's thoughts on whether the current inventory surplus on II is due to the current economic state?

I'm currently in the process of buying in SDO, strictly for II trading, and I'm concerned that once the economy picks up, trade options might be few and far between.

Does anyone here have experience with II trading in stronger economic times?

My primary interest is trading into Starwood Hawaii properties, and Caribbean.
 
Even in busier times, shoulder season weeks has always been available.

Also, even though times are getting harder by the week, the top Starwood resorts are still not readily avaialble.
 
I think the poor economy is increasing deposits - Right now a lot of people can't afford to travel, and I think there will be lots more units deposited than usual. As far as what will happen when the economy improves, we have a loooong way to go before that happens! Even when the economy improves, with 3 Starwood resorts in Hawaii and expansion at Harborside, off-season weeks should still be available for people who stay on top of it. You can pretty much forget about ever getting a II exchange for WSJ!
 
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I think the poor economy is increasing deposits - Right now a lot of people can't afford to travel, and I think there will be lots more units deposited than usual. As far as what will happen when the economy improves, we have a loooong way to go before that happens! Even when the economy improves, with 3 Starwood resorts in Hawaii and expansion at Harborside, off-season weeks should still be available for people who stay on top of it. You can pretty much forget about ever getting a II exchange for WSJ!

I agree with Denise. TS weeks are just like any other commodity; it's a matter of supply and demand, as is evidenced by the precipitous decline in the price of even premium TS properties. More weeks are getting deposited because owners--even though they own the time--are finding it more and more difficult to undertake the other costs of vacationing, including airfare, meals, and other incidental expenses.

I'm one of those who believes we have a long period of further deterioration in this economy before things begin to improve. Your trading strategy ought to work pretty well for the foreseeable future, as long as you're willing to travel during the shoulder seasons.
 
Hey There,

I just wanted to get everyone's thoughts on whether the current inventory surplus on II is due to the current economic state?

I'm currently in the process of buying in SDO, strictly for II trading, and I'm concerned that once the economy picks up, trade options might be few and far between.

Does anyone here have experience with II trading in stronger economic times?

My primary interest is trading into Starwood Hawaii properties, and Caribbean.

I would also agree that you will see more exchanges available in a crawling economy (was that putting it lightly?); however, I would believe that your ownership would still trade well provided that you are able to deposit spring break weeks from SDO. In the future, you will see that you will need to plan further out in advance as the economy grows stronger. This is a great time to be new to timeshare as the learning curve is in your favor!
 
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