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Coronavirus is Bad but US Flu's New Numbers Still Far Worse

Steve Fatula

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There are numerous differences, davidvel touched on one of them. The death rate is higher at present with COVID19, but it seems to be very age specific as far as who it affects,

Source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-age-sex-demographics/

Generally it appears to be older people or people with underlying conditions. Thus the recent CDC suggestion that older folks or those with underlying conditions reconsider being in crowds or public places, at least to minimize them.

The flu can kill young children, thus far COVID19 has not.

There is very little info about COVID19 thus far. More every day, but a long way to go. It *could* end up like Sars and die out with the beginning of warmer weather, or, it may not. SARS mostly went away since it's debut (some lab accidents have occurred), COVID-19 may or may not reappear annually. Mers however is still around just not widespread. Only time will tell. Obviously, we all hope it never reappears! There has been one case of a person getting the virus a second time, so, you may well not get much immunity once infected. But who knows. It may change over time, possibly for the better. It may not.

S. Korea has been cited as having a low death rate, comparatively but still higher than the flu, however, the day you detect a patient has been infected may not be the day they die. Thus, the death rate may well go up statistically for them. In the US, very little testing has been done to this point. There are likely many more cases than are currently known due to testing issues to date. That may in turn lower the mortality rate. Trailing deaths may raise it though.

The good news is the same steps people rarely take to prevent the flu (washing hands, etc.) will help with both the flu and the new virus. Though there is no COVID19 shot of course.

Nevertheless, the flu remains a threat as always. But it is winding down (or soon will be) depending on where you live. I would never minimize the impact that the flu has.
 

Panina

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MULTIZ321

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U.S. Flu Season Beginning To Ease, Modelers Say.


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Richard
 

"Roger"

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A few numbers to think about...

About 700 passengers on the Diamond Princess tested positive for the COVID-19, 7 of whom died. Since I presume everyone of the ship was tested, we have an accurate number in this case as to how many people on the ship had contracted the disease. In other words, there were no passengers with a mild case of the disease walking around but not noticed. That means that the death rate was about 1% which is lower than many of the estimates about the deadliness of this disease. The bad news is that all that died were more elderly. Not good in that I gather that TUGGERs tend to be part of the older generation. (It would be interesting to know how many of the 700 were elderly, but I have not seen any reports on that.)

21 of the approximate 3500 people on the Grand Princess contracted COVID-19. Draconian measures were used to isolate passengers, but my suspicion is that, as COVID-19 spreads, your likelihood of contracting COVID-19 while staying home will be higher than if you had been on the Grand Princess (unless you truly "stay home" treating your house like a nuclear bomb shelter).

Make of these numbers what you will. I just find the statistics interesting and more informative than anecdotal stories.
 

bogey21

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What is the protocol regarding relatives that are coming home for Easter after 60 days of Philippines, Bali , Taiwan, Singapore and Cairns ? One of my grand daughters is pregnant and I wonder if we should be around the traveling relatives right after their trip.
There is no perfect protocol. Each of us needs to gather all the facts, opinions, etc. that we can and make our own decisions...

George
 
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