I would be very interested to see any documentation of CWA contacts selling for $20/1000 on a regular basis – maybe a month or two during the height of the buying season, but for a year or more, I doubt it. That was certainly never the case on Ebay. Ebay is not the "market", but it is the most transparent and accessible market.
I do not follow Ebay Wyndham timeshare pricing on a regular basis, but whenever there is a post about a "Jump In Wyndham Prices" I look at the recent Ebay pricing history, and have never reached that conclusion. I never saw where CWA contracts were selling on Ebay for $20/1000 on a regular basis. I did see where CWA contracts were selling for $5/1000 to $10/1000 on a regular basis, and that continues today. It goes all the way back to 2013.
https://tugbbs.com/forums/index.php?threads/royal-vista-195k-udi-ebay-sale-up-tick-in-value.198191/
EBay pricing is not that much different now than it was then.
I followed the current "Slim pickings on [Wyndham] resale" post to see if anything has changed over the last 5 years, and now 3 months later, EBay pricing is back to the low end of the cyclical range, as posted in #69 and there is considerably more supply than 3 months ago. If Wyndham were (or is) buying, wouldn’t they be buying during the busy summer season to replace sold inventory? Why are prices headed lower versus 3 months ago?
I do not see everything, and I may see nothing, but I continue to see what I have seen for the last 5 years. If you don’t like the Wyndham pricing today, wait a few months, and you may find it for a few hundred or a few thousand dollars less.
Just in this thread, a CWA sale was noted at $16/1000 in post #32 well after the changes to the Wyndham guidelines. Does that one sale represent the "market" for Wyndham? I am sure that brokers regularly sell Wyndham contracts (and not just CWA contracts) for $30+/1000; is that the "market price"? Brokers are probably still selling at the same price, while EBay is at $3.90/1000 to $5.90/1000 for CWA and Best Offers for other contracts and $1 plus closing and transfer for others. Which pricing represents "the market"?
There is not a lot of transparency to determine the "market price" for Wyndham contracts, or to make determinations if prices are headed up, or not. For now looking at EBay sales, apparently not, just like in 2013 before Ovation.