brianfox
TUG Member
- Joined
- Apr 14, 2007
- Messages
- 796
- Reaction score
- 445
- Points
- 423
- Location
- Thousand Oaks
- Resorts Owned
- Marriott Waiohai x3
I think your numbers here are a bit optimistic. I've traveled to different islands three times over the last several summers and never paid over $600, sometimes even getting it under $500. If you're going to compare the super-cheap point rate you should compare it to the lowest available cash fare to be consistent.
Also, from June to August I see only 4 days (all in August) where there is availability for LAX-HNL at the lowest AA miles rate, which is apparently the only one eligible for the 12.5k BA rate. I don't know what the overall availability is when planning ahead but it looks pretty limited based on my brief research.
It is interesting to know about the BA trick so thank you for that. I'll go out on a limb and assume they will change their rules in the near future to mirror what other airlines have done where the miles requirement changes along with the cash rate.
I agree with you, and I am using the fare that corresponds to the low points. I've been personally tracking this for our last 5 trips to Hawaii in summer. It's been pretty consistent. What has NOT been consistent is the availability of the seats. Used to be that you could reserve that 12.5K seat in January for a July trip. Nowadays that deal may appear for just a single day here and there up until June. Then in mid-June, the seats become plentiful. British Airways releases 7 seats at a time.
One tool I have found invaluable is ExpertFlyer. It's a subscription service, but you can set up a search for, say, 4 super-saver seats on AA. They will check every day and Email when they are available. Then you grab them. But this year I got zero notifications even up until now, so seats are definitely getting harder to find. It will be interesting to see how the Volcano affects HI travel this year.