SNA27
TUG Member
- Joined
- Nov 27, 2019
- Messages
- 815
- Reaction score
- 520
- Points
- 153
- Location
- Rancho Cucamonga CA
- Resorts Owned
- Grand Desert - Flagstaff - Waikiki-Beachwalk+2PICs - Bonnet-Creek - Smoky-Mountains - NO CWA/NO RESALE
There are rating companies that evaluate various financial products. Are there any who rate Timeshare companies? I haven't been able to find any. Why not?
If there is a model to judge TS companies, what would be the metrics by which to judge them?
This TUG BBS has been eye-opening, but it's all about beating the system and gaining an advantage in the bazaar. I seek a more fundamental understanding of the TS ecosystem. I don't want to game or beat the system to the benefit of a few players at the expense of many.
I have been catching up at the rate of Khan after being woken up from a slumber during an interstellar voyage! Or, in my case, from the logic-driven bubble where I was cloistered with my dictionary, as someone humorously or snarkily observed!
I would like to create a model for the TS ecosystem based on Game Theory! I would love to identify all the players and their motivations.
TS company has 100 Perishable Units to sell every year. Perishable should be obvious since it's time dependent! But Omar Khayyam said it lot more eloquently!
“The Moving Finger writes; and, having writ,
Moves on: nor all thy Piety nor Wit
Shall lure it back to cancel half a Line,
Nor all thy Tears wash out a Word of it.”
― Omar Khayyám
TS creates 100 shares and invites offers to puchase the right to Perishable Units.
Vacancy rate. Perishable units perish without being consumed. Let's assume an average vacancy rate of 25%. Hot sites like Canterbury or Midtown45 much less and cold sites like Fairfiled Glade where you watch grass grow a lot more.
So you have 100 shares chasing 75 units. But Wyndham is still selling, may be they have managed to sell 50 shares. And still have 50 to sell using dubious selling tactics employing the the low-end of the bell curve to trammel the unwary!
So, we have 50 shares chasing 75 Persihable Units. It's very simplistic to assume all PUs are the same. But that's a complexity we can defer for now. But demand of 50 against supply of 75 is a buyer's market! Sailing at 80 mph on 10 Fwy! Sounds great!
But let's say 10 of those shares get postponed to the future year. So, the next year, you have 10 extra shares chasing 75 Persihsable units. You see where I am going with this.
Are these metrics available somewhere? I bet we can set up a good model to rate TS if we can discover this information!
TS will always be viewed with suspicion until there is transparency!
Sorry to bore you because I am retired and bored! But I am going to work on this model as a hobby! Your input will be appreciated!
If there is a model to judge TS companies, what would be the metrics by which to judge them?
This TUG BBS has been eye-opening, but it's all about beating the system and gaining an advantage in the bazaar. I seek a more fundamental understanding of the TS ecosystem. I don't want to game or beat the system to the benefit of a few players at the expense of many.
I have been catching up at the rate of Khan after being woken up from a slumber during an interstellar voyage! Or, in my case, from the logic-driven bubble where I was cloistered with my dictionary, as someone humorously or snarkily observed!
I would like to create a model for the TS ecosystem based on Game Theory! I would love to identify all the players and their motivations.
TS company has 100 Perishable Units to sell every year. Perishable should be obvious since it's time dependent! But Omar Khayyam said it lot more eloquently!
“The Moving Finger writes; and, having writ,
Moves on: nor all thy Piety nor Wit
Shall lure it back to cancel half a Line,
Nor all thy Tears wash out a Word of it.”
― Omar Khayyám
TS creates 100 shares and invites offers to puchase the right to Perishable Units.
Vacancy rate. Perishable units perish without being consumed. Let's assume an average vacancy rate of 25%. Hot sites like Canterbury or Midtown45 much less and cold sites like Fairfiled Glade where you watch grass grow a lot more.
So you have 100 shares chasing 75 units. But Wyndham is still selling, may be they have managed to sell 50 shares. And still have 50 to sell using dubious selling tactics employing the the low-end of the bell curve to trammel the unwary!
So, we have 50 shares chasing 75 Persihable Units. It's very simplistic to assume all PUs are the same. But that's a complexity we can defer for now. But demand of 50 against supply of 75 is a buyer's market! Sailing at 80 mph on 10 Fwy! Sounds great!
But let's say 10 of those shares get postponed to the future year. So, the next year, you have 10 extra shares chasing 75 Persihsable units. You see where I am going with this.
Are these metrics available somewhere? I bet we can set up a good model to rate TS if we can discover this information!
TS will always be viewed with suspicion until there is transparency!
Sorry to bore you because I am retired and bored! But I am going to work on this model as a hobby! Your input will be appreciated!
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