I asked a contact at Embarc, and was told that over the last 5 years, the number of members (other than the declarant) who vote, is under 20%. So, getting a 30% return rate, with all votes for the same BOD Candidate, no matter how many people have joined the Club Intrawest Owners Group or CIOG Facebook Page, in my opinion, is of very low probability. In my opinion, the election is over, with the goals established by the architects of Club Intrawest (of no control of the Board by "the members") having been achieved........the governance is wired (in favor of the Declarant), and the election of Board Members, and the composition of the board, is very clearly stacked against the members. Hence, I agree with the "not likely" part of your assessment, as the Declarant will exercise all of their votes for their two candidates (the two incumbents), and carry the election.
Recognizing the above, I believe that BOD Candidate Rosalyn Behzadi is uniquely qualified to serve as a Director on the Embarc Board of Directors.
In reviewing the slate of candidates, I noticed that James Orr, an incumbent, has served on the Club's Board of Directors since 2004 - - 14 consecutive years!; in my opinion, it's time for a change (long overdue!). I believe it was last year, that the members (with no votes by the Declarant), voted a fixture on the Club's Board of Directors, Mr. Kenneth Smith, off of the Board; if my memory is right, Mr. Smith served on the Board for 18 (or more) consecutive years. I wonder, could there be any valid reason, for a club of 21,000 members, to have had two members on the Board of Directors, for at least 14 consecutive years? There have got to be other qualified candidates in the Club's member base of 21,000, and an opportunity must exist for new blood to come onto the Board of Directors, so the stale blood can be moved off. Finally, in my opinion, it is noteworthy that Mr. Orr did not indicate in his "Board of Directors Nomination Biography" that he was one of only two members on the Club Intrawest Board of Directors (the other being Mr. Kenneth Smith) who voted in favor of selling Club Intrawest to Diamond Resorts, a decision, that I believe a large number of members regret, and wish they had had a "say in."