DeniseM
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If the super volcano does go, we're all f'd. I'd rather be snuffed out in the first wave vs. survive and slowly die of starvation as the whole world is thrown into years of darkness and a global winter. There may be some long-term survivors, but it most likely is a species-ending event.We'll go unless the park service advises against it, and it seems like this is a normal occurrence and not related to the Super Volcano. Our life insurance is paid up and we have a trust, so we're good to go!![]()
Minor correction.As you probably know, Yellowstone isinthe caldera of a huge volcano. We are supposed to go to Yellowstone in a few weeks:
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If the super volcano does go, we're all f'd. I'd rather be snuffed out in the first wave vs. survive and slowly die of starvation as the whole world is thrown into years of darkness and a global winter. There may be some long-term survivors, but it most likely is a species-ending event.
Kurt
I hope you're correct, but a quick search shows that the last Yellowstone eruption produced 10,000 times the amount of ash than the Mount St. Helens eruption. So instead of 4" of ash, it would be 40,000" or almost 2/3 of a mile of ash.I doubt your scenario after living through 4 inches of St Hellens ash fall. This is what I think. Zone 1 is about an 80 to 100 mile radius from the eruption site aka the kill zone which kills maybe 100,000 persons. Zone 2 extends out to about 150 miles and has an ash cover of about 10 - 12 ft killing maybe 400,000 persons. Zone 3 is survivable with about 3 ft of ash but displaces about a million persons. Zone 4 extends out to 200 miles from the eruption and has about 18 inches of ash which is survivable but displaces about 11 million persons. Zone 5 extends out from 200 to 600 miles from the eruption and deposits about 6 inches or less of ash and is survivable. Ash fall is dependent on wind so some zones could get more ash than others. The dominate wind for Yellowstone is the Westerlies so there is a good possibility that much of the ash fall blows east.
I wonder how much of a change to global weather results from a Northern Hemisphere eruption. Some of the known big volcanic eruptions caused maybe a 3 degree cooling. Climate scientists claim that the affects of volcanic debris in the stratosphere only last a few weeks and has little to no impact on climate.
I doubt your scenario after living through 4 inches of St Hellens ash fall. This is what I think. Zone 1 is about an 80 to 100 mile radius from the eruption site aka the kill zone which kills maybe 100,000 persons. Zone 2 extends out to about 150 miles and has an ash cover of about 10 - 12 ft killing maybe 400,000 persons. Zone 3 is survivable with about 3 ft of ash but displaces about a million persons. Zone 4 extends out to 200 miles from the eruption and has about 18 inches of ash which is survivable but displaces about 11 million persons. Zone 5 extends out from 200 to 600 miles from the eruption and deposits about 6 inches or less of ash and is survivable. Ash fall is dependent on wind so some zones could get more ash than others. The dominate wind for Yellowstone is the Westerlies so there is a good possibility that much of the ash fall blows east.
I wonder how much of a change to global weather results from a Northern Hemisphere eruption. Some of the known big volcanic eruptions caused maybe a 3 degree cooling. Climate scientists claim that the affects of volcanic debris in the stratosphere only last a few weeks and has little to no impact on climate.
Bill
Yes. You are off by at least one order of magnitude; more likely at least two orders of magnitude.I hope you're correct, but a quick search shows that the last Yellowstone eruption produced 10,000 times the amount of ash than the Mount St. Helens eruption. So instead of 4" of ash, it would be 40,000" or almost 2/3 of a mile of ash.
Kurt
The magma chamber under Yellowstone's danger is not the amount or magma. It is the amount of gas dissolved in the magma.Scientists say there isn't enough molten rock under Yellowstone to cause a new caldera forming eruption at Yellowstone meaning any eruption would be small and would likely be a geyser type or lava flow and not an end of the world as we know it eruption.
Bingo!!! Geochemistry is crucial. The mass of magma is not nearly as important as the explosiveness of the magma. Hawaii volcanoes have large amounts of magma, but they do not erupt as explosively because of chemical differences. Yellowstone geochemistry is highly explosive. Yellowstone has blasted a 100-mile wide scar (the Snake River Plain) through the North American Continental Plate, starting with it's origins as the Grande Rondo volcano in Oregon, which deposited the world's largest basalt lava flows in the Columbia Basin in the Pacific Northwest.The magma chamber under Yellowstone's danger is not the amount or magma. It is the amount of gas dissolved in the magma.
Once the chamber is breached, the gas expands like shook up bottle of soda pop which has been opened. This expansion would blow open the chamber, taking all the overlying rock strata and turn it into ash. That is why the historic ash coverage of the Yellowstone eruptions are so massive.
Sort of, but it does have an analogy in scale. Mt St Helens had been dormant a long time and the magma chamber had a lot of dissolved gas. The magma chamber of Mt. St. Helens was not under anywhere as much pressure as Yellowstone and its source is from a plate junction rather than Yellowstone's plume source. But the principle of the destruction and ash coming from the release of pressure rather than lava "spurting" from the chamber is the same.... Trying to equate a Mt. St. Helens with a Yellowstone eruption is .... silly.
Trying to equate a Mt. St. Helens with a Yellowstone eruption is .... silly.
That's because you are WEST and NORTH of Yellowstone. The prevailing winds are from the WEST and NORTHWEST, silly.It's a fair comparison for my area regarding ash fall. Mt St Hellens dropped 4 inches of ash on us when it erupted. The prediction is that we would get maybe 6 inches of ash in a Yellowstone eruption depending on the strength and direction of the wind. The 4 inches of ash we lived through wasn't a life ending scenario. Below is a link to the geological survey ash fall zone map.
That's because you are WEST and NORTH of Yellowstone. The prevailing winds are from the WEST and NORTHWEST, silly.![]()