WBP
TUG Member
- Joined
- Jun 6, 2005
- Messages
- 662
- Reaction score
- 341
- Points
- 423
I talked with a prospective renter today, and shared with him my belief, that based on the volume of lost timeshare (and hotel) inventory for this coming winter, in warm weather destinations, that timeshare and hotel inventory in alternate (not affected by hurricane(s)) destinations will be in unprecedented, high demand, and that rates will climb, as the available supply diminishes.
I suspect that some unknown number of land destination vacationers (particularly in Florida and the Caribbean), will opt for cruises, and I believe that demand for warm weather cruises this coming winter will have a demand that exceeds the supply, and that rates will climb, based on supply and demand.
I talked with a very experienced Interval International representative today, and his outlook for successful exchanges into warm weather destinations this winter was not very promising. He said that already, he's observed members adding non-water (e.g. desert) destinations to pending requests this winter, and a large number of members looking to retrade their confirmed exchanges in affected destinations, to alternate destinations.
I suspect that Redweek.com will have a busy winter season, and that timeshare rental and hotel rates in the most sought after destinations, this winter, will increase, as supply decreases.
It will be interesting to see what a shift in demand this winter, does to airline seats/availability/fares. I suspect that destinations not affected by hurricanes this fall (e.g. Aruba) will see a high demand for available seats, and higher than usual airfares, this winter. In certain destinations, like Caribbean Islands, I don't know how many additional flights an airline can bring into a Caribbean Island, or which islands may be capable of handling larger aircraft (with greater seat capacity) than is the norm. Certainly, in the case of islands, they have only so much timeshare/hotel capacity, and no room to swell, so I'm not sure that additional air capacity will be of any value to certain islands.
I suspect that some unknown number of land destination vacationers (particularly in Florida and the Caribbean), will opt for cruises, and I believe that demand for warm weather cruises this coming winter will have a demand that exceeds the supply, and that rates will climb, based on supply and demand.
I talked with a very experienced Interval International representative today, and his outlook for successful exchanges into warm weather destinations this winter was not very promising. He said that already, he's observed members adding non-water (e.g. desert) destinations to pending requests this winter, and a large number of members looking to retrade their confirmed exchanges in affected destinations, to alternate destinations.
I suspect that Redweek.com will have a busy winter season, and that timeshare rental and hotel rates in the most sought after destinations, this winter, will increase, as supply decreases.
It will be interesting to see what a shift in demand this winter, does to airline seats/availability/fares. I suspect that destinations not affected by hurricanes this fall (e.g. Aruba) will see a high demand for available seats, and higher than usual airfares, this winter. In certain destinations, like Caribbean Islands, I don't know how many additional flights an airline can bring into a Caribbean Island, or which islands may be capable of handling larger aircraft (with greater seat capacity) than is the norm. Certainly, in the case of islands, they have only so much timeshare/hotel capacity, and no room to swell, so I'm not sure that additional air capacity will be of any value to certain islands.
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